The open nature of Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District following incumbent Angie Craig’s April 2025 decision to seek the U.S. Senate seat has shaped trader assessments, yet the district’s D+3 partisan voting index and consistent “Likely Democratic” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters continue to anchor Democratic nominee probabilities near 75 percent. Democratic primary voters will choose among several candidates on August 11, with institutional support and early caucus results favoring one frontrunner. Republican contenders face a steeper climb in a district that has elected Democrats in recent cycles, limiting their general-election path despite the absence of an incumbent. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered the underlying electoral math ahead of the November 2026 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-02
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-02
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
72%
Республиканская партия
24%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$111 Объем
72%
Республиканская партия
$156 Объем
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open nature of Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District following incumbent Angie Craig’s April 2025 decision to seek the U.S. Senate seat has shaped trader assessments, yet the district’s D+3 partisan voting index and consistent “Likely Democratic” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters continue to anchor Democratic nominee probabilities near 75 percent. Democratic primary voters will choose among several candidates on August 11, with institutional support and early caucus results favoring one frontrunner. Republican contenders face a steeper climb in a district that has elected Democrats in recent cycles, limiting their general-election path despite the absence of an incumbent. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered the underlying electoral math ahead of the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Объем
$267Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open nature of Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District following incumbent Angie Craig’s April 2025 decision to seek the U.S. Senate seat has shaped trader assessments, yet the district’s D+3 partisan voting index and consistent “Likely Democratic” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters continue to anchor Democratic nominee probabilities near 75 percent. Democratic primary voters will choose among several candidates on August 11, with institutional support and early caucus results favoring one frontrunner. Republican contenders face a steeper climb in a district that has elected Democrats in recent cycles, limiting their general-election path despite the absence of an incumbent. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered the underlying electoral math ahead of the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$267Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open nature of Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District following incumbent Angie Craig’s April 2025 decision to seek the U.S. Senate seat has shaped trader assessments, yet the district’s D+3 partisan voting index and consistent “Likely Democratic” ratings from nonpartisan forecasters continue to anchor Democratic nominee probabilities near 75 percent. Democratic primary voters will choose among several candidates on August 11, with institutional support and early caucus results favoring one frontrunner. Republican contenders face a steeper climb in a district that has elected Democrats in recent cycles, limiting their general-election path despite the absence of an incumbent. No major polling shifts or late developments have altered the underlying electoral math ahead of the November 2026 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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