Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.5% implied probability for a perfect game in the 2026 MLB season, driven by the feat's profound historical scarcity—only 24 across more than 140 years and 238,000-plus games, with the last by Domingo Germán in 2023 and none during the full 2024 or 2025 campaigns. Modern dynamics amplify the odds against it: strict pitch-count limits curtail complete games by starters, bullpen specialization fragments outings, and persistent offensive firepower plus occasional defensive lapses make 27 flawless innings nearly unattainable amid 2,430 regular-season matchups. Entering Opening Day without dominant spring training no-hitter bids or injury-weakened lineups tilting the scales, the wisdom of crowds reflects this entrenched rarity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоMLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?
MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?
A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 90.5% implied probability for a perfect game in the 2026 MLB season, driven by the feat's profound historical scarcity—only 24 across more than 140 years and 238,000-plus games, with the last by Domingo Germán in 2023 and none during the full 2024 or 2025 campaigns. Modern dynamics amplify the odds against it: strict pitch-count limits curtail complete games by starters, bullpen specialization fragments outings, and persistent offensive firepower plus occasional defensive lapses make 27 flawless innings nearly unattainable amid 2,430 regular-season matchups. Entering Opening Day without dominant spring training no-hitter bids or injury-weakened lineups tilting the scales, the wisdom of crowds reflects this entrenched rarity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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