Cleitinho Azevedo maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus, due to consistent first-round polling leads of 30-37% in surveys from April and May 2026. His positioning draws from strong conservative and evangelical voter bases in the bellwether state, alongside ongoing discussions of alignment with the PL party and potential backing signals from figures like Flávio Bolsonaro. Fragmented opposition among candidates including Mateus Simões, Rodrigo Pacheco, and Alexandre Kalil has limited any unified challenge, with Pacheco’s viability appearing tied to uncertain external endorsements. The October 4 election timeline and absence of major shifts in recent months sustain the current implied probabilities across prediction markets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCleitinho Azevedo 64%
Mateus Simões 10.9%
Rodrigo Pacheco 9%
Gabriel Azevedo 4.1%
$64,785 Объем
$64,785 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Cleitinho Azevedo
64%
Mateus Simões
11%
Rodrigo Pacheco
9%
Gabriel Azevedo
4%
Alexandre Kalil
4%
Бенони Мендес
4%
Nikolas Ferreira
2%
Tadeu Leite
1%
Aécio Neves
1%
Alexandre Silveira
<1%
Cleitinho Azevedo 64%
Mateus Simões 10.9%
Rodrigo Pacheco 9%
Gabriel Azevedo 4.1%
$64,785 Объем
$64,785 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Cleitinho Azevedo
$17,503 Объем
64%
Mateus Simões
$2,248 Объем
11%
Rodrigo Pacheco
$15,111 Объем
9%
Gabriel Azevedo
$2,884 Объем
4%
Alexandre Kalil
$15,332 Объем
4%
Бенони Мендес
$2,347 Объем
4%
Nikolas Ferreira
$4,078 Объем
2%
Tadeu Leite
$2,432 Объем
1%
Aécio Neves
$1,603 Объем
1%
Alexandre Silveira
$1,245 Объем
<1%
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus, due to consistent first-round polling leads of 30-37% in surveys from April and May 2026. His positioning draws from strong conservative and evangelical voter bases in the bellwether state, alongside ongoing discussions of alignment with the PL party and potential backing signals from figures like Flávio Bolsonaro. Fragmented opposition among candidates including Mateus Simões, Rodrigo Pacheco, and Alexandre Kalil has limited any unified challenge, with Pacheco’s viability appearing tied to uncertain external endorsements. The October 4 election timeline and absence of major shifts in recent months sustain the current implied probabilities across prediction markets.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Объем
$64,785Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus, due to consistent first-round polling leads of 30-37% in surveys from April and May 2026. His positioning draws from strong conservative and evangelical voter bases in the bellwether state, alongside ongoing discussions of alignment with the PL party and potential backing signals from figures like Flávio Bolsonaro. Fragmented opposition among candidates including Mateus Simões, Rodrigo Pacheco, and Alexandre Kalil has limited any unified challenge, with Pacheco’s viability appearing tied to uncertain external endorsements. The October 4 election timeline and absence of major shifts in recent months sustain the current implied probabilities across prediction markets.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$64,785Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cleitinho Azevedo maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus, due to consistent first-round polling leads of 30-37% in surveys from April and May 2026. His positioning draws from strong conservative and evangelical voter bases in the bellwether state, alongside ongoing discussions of alignment with the PL party and potential backing signals from figures like Flávio Bolsonaro. Fragmented opposition among candidates including Mateus Simões, Rodrigo Pacheco, and Alexandre Kalil has limited any unified challenge, with Pacheco’s viability appearing tied to uncertain external endorsements. The October 4 election timeline and absence of major shifts in recent months sustain the current implied probabilities across prediction markets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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