Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and recent election margins exceeding 40 points. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib faces a Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, against challengers including Shanelle Jackson and Byron Nolen, while Republican James Hooper advances unopposed in his party's primary ahead of the November 3 general election. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the district's composition in Wayne and Oakland counties. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats incorporates the incumbent's prior performance and absence of competitive opposition, though a major scandal, health event, or unexpected primary outcome could still alter general election dynamics before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей МИ-12
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей МИ-12
$28,890 Объем
$28,890 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
5%
$28,890 Объем
$28,890 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$17,714 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$11,175 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and recent election margins exceeding 40 points. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib faces a Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, against challengers including Shanelle Jackson and Byron Nolen, while Republican James Hooper advances unopposed in his party's primary ahead of the November 3 general election. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the district's composition in Wayne and Oakland counties. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats incorporates the incumbent's prior performance and absence of competitive opposition, though a major scandal, health event, or unexpected primary outcome could still alter general election dynamics before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$28,890Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and recent election margins exceeding 40 points. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib faces a Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, against challengers including Shanelle Jackson and Byron Nolen, while Republican James Hooper advances unopposed in his party's primary ahead of the November 3 general election. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the district's composition in Wayne and Oakland counties. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats incorporates the incumbent's prior performance and absence of competitive opposition, though a major scandal, health event, or unexpected primary outcome could still alter general election dynamics before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$28,890Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and recent election margins exceeding 40 points. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib faces a Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, against challengers including Shanelle Jackson and Byron Nolen, while Republican James Hooper advances unopposed in his party's primary ahead of the November 3 general election. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the district's composition in Wayne and Oakland counties. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats incorporates the incumbent's prior performance and absence of competitive opposition, though a major scandal, health event, or unexpected primary outcome could still alter general election dynamics before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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