The open seat in Michigan's competitive 10th District, vacated by Republican John James to pursue the governorship, has produced a toss-up general election between Democrat Christina Hines and Republican Mike Bouchard. Hines secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with a plurality over two challengers, while Bouchard won the Republican primary decisively with President Trump's endorsement. Limited available polling shows a statistical tie, and forecasters rate the race from toss-up to lean Republican. Prediction market traders assign Hines a modest lead, reflecting the district's suburban Macomb and Oakland County demographics, candidate fundraising and profiles, and the typical midterm environment for the president's party three weeks before the November 3 vote.