The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and Donald Trump's 63 percent share in 2024, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory at 90.5 percent implied probability. Incumbent Tim Walberg, who captured 65.7 percent in the prior cycle, faces no primary opposition after filing as the sole GOP candidate and maintains a decisive fundraising advantage over Democratic nominee Christian Vukasovich. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the southern Michigan seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome ahead of the November 3 general election, though structural factors limit realistic challenges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-05
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-05
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
91%
Демократическая партия
9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$2,654 Объем
91%
Демократическая партия
$2,365 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and Donald Trump's 63 percent share in 2024, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory at 90.5 percent implied probability. Incumbent Tim Walberg, who captured 65.7 percent in the prior cycle, faces no primary opposition after filing as the sole GOP candidate and maintains a decisive fundraising advantage over Democratic nominee Christian Vukasovich. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the southern Michigan seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome ahead of the November 3 general election, though structural factors limit realistic challenges.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$5,020Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and Donald Trump's 63 percent share in 2024, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory at 90.5 percent implied probability. Incumbent Tim Walberg, who captured 65.7 percent in the prior cycle, faces no primary opposition after filing as the sole GOP candidate and maintains a decisive fundraising advantage over Democratic nominee Christian Vukasovich. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the southern Michigan seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome ahead of the November 3 general election, though structural factors limit realistic challenges.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$5,020Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 and Donald Trump's 63 percent share in 2024, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory at 90.5 percent implied probability. Incumbent Tim Walberg, who captured 65.7 percent in the prior cycle, faces no primary opposition after filing as the sole GOP candidate and maintains a decisive fundraising advantage over Democratic nominee Christian Vukasovich. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the southern Michigan seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome ahead of the November 3 general election, though structural factors limit realistic challenges.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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