Recent polls conducted in early September 2026 show the SPD at 30–34 percent, placing it in a close contest with the AfD and supporting projected seat totals in the mid-20s range within the 71-seat Landtag. The incumbent SPD, led by popular Minister President Manuela Schwesig, benefits from strong personal approval ratings near 60 percent, though the party has lost ground compared with its 39.6 percent and 34 seats in 2021. Smaller parties hovering near the 5 percent threshold, including the Greens and BSW, along with final turnout and vote distribution, introduce variability in proportional seat allocation. These dynamics have concentrated trader consensus on the 22–29 seat bands ahead of the September 20 vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено26-29 52%
22-25 37%
30-33 12.2%
18-21 1.9%
$47,732 Объем
$47,732 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
<18
1%
18-21
2%
22-25
37%
26-29
52%
30-33
12%
34+
1%
26-29 52%
22-25 37%
30-33 12.2%
18-21 1.9%
$47,732 Объем
$47,732 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
<18
$1,804 Объем
1%
18-21
$1,604 Объем
2%
22-25
$19,720 Объем
37%
26-29
$17,296 Объем
52%
30-33
$5,721 Объем
12%
34+
$1,587 Объем
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls conducted in early September 2026 show the SPD at 30–34 percent, placing it in a close contest with the AfD and supporting projected seat totals in the mid-20s range within the 71-seat Landtag. The incumbent SPD, led by popular Minister President Manuela Schwesig, benefits from strong personal approval ratings near 60 percent, though the party has lost ground compared with its 39.6 percent and 34 seats in 2021. Smaller parties hovering near the 5 percent threshold, including the Greens and BSW, along with final turnout and vote distribution, introduce variability in proportional seat allocation. These dynamics have concentrated trader consensus on the 22–29 seat bands ahead of the September 20 vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Объем
$47,732Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls conducted in early September 2026 show the SPD at 30–34 percent, placing it in a close contest with the AfD and supporting projected seat totals in the mid-20s range within the 71-seat Landtag. The incumbent SPD, led by popular Minister President Manuela Schwesig, benefits from strong personal approval ratings near 60 percent, though the party has lost ground compared with its 39.6 percent and 34 seats in 2021. Smaller parties hovering near the 5 percent threshold, including the Greens and BSW, along with final turnout and vote distribution, introduce variability in proportional seat allocation. These dynamics have concentrated trader consensus on the 22–29 seat bands ahead of the September 20 vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Объем
$47,732Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls conducted in early September 2026 show the SPD at 30–34 percent, placing it in a close contest with the AfD and supporting projected seat totals in the mid-20s range within the 71-seat Landtag. The incumbent SPD, led by popular Minister President Manuela Schwesig, benefits from strong personal approval ratings near 60 percent, though the party has lost ground compared with its 39.6 percent and 34 seats in 2021. Smaller parties hovering near the 5 percent threshold, including the Greens and BSW, along with final turnout and vote distribution, introduce variability in proportional seat allocation. These dynamics have concentrated trader consensus on the 22–29 seat bands ahead of the September 20 vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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