Recent polling from Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA shows the AfD leading Mecklenburg-Vorpommern’s September 20 Landtag election with 36–38 percent support, ahead of the SPD at 30–34 percent. This places the AfD on track for the largest share of the 71-plus seats, though still short of a majority. The CDU trails far behind at 7 percent, while the Left holds 9–12 percent and smaller parties hover near or below the 5 percent threshold. AfD gains since 2021 reflect sustained voter priorities on immigration and regional issues in eastern Germany, reinforced by its recent Saxony-Anhalt result. Latest surveys indicate the SPD has modestly narrowed the gap, keeping the most likely seat ranges clustered around 28–35. Trader consensus on these bands aligns with the stable polling average and the short campaign window remaining before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено28-31 51%
32-35 27%
24-27 18.1%
36+ 3.3%
$48,817 Объем
$48,817 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
<20
<1%
20-23
1%
24-27
18%
28-31
51%
32-35
27%
36+
3%
28-31 51%
32-35 27%
24-27 18.1%
36+ 3.3%
$48,817 Объем
$48,817 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
<20
$1,400 Объем
<1%
20-23
$2,688 Объем
1%
24-27
$10,696 Объем
18%
28-31
$20,007 Объем
51%
32-35
$9,576 Объем
27%
36+
$4,450 Объем
3%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling from Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA shows the AfD leading Mecklenburg-Vorpommern’s September 20 Landtag election with 36–38 percent support, ahead of the SPD at 30–34 percent. This places the AfD on track for the largest share of the 71-plus seats, though still short of a majority. The CDU trails far behind at 7 percent, while the Left holds 9–12 percent and smaller parties hover near or below the 5 percent threshold. AfD gains since 2021 reflect sustained voter priorities on immigration and regional issues in eastern Germany, reinforced by its recent Saxony-Anhalt result. Latest surveys indicate the SPD has modestly narrowed the gap, keeping the most likely seat ranges clustered around 28–35. Trader consensus on these bands aligns with the stable polling average and the short campaign window remaining before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Объем
$48,817Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling from Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA shows the AfD leading Mecklenburg-Vorpommern’s September 20 Landtag election with 36–38 percent support, ahead of the SPD at 30–34 percent. This places the AfD on track for the largest share of the 71-plus seats, though still short of a majority. The CDU trails far behind at 7 percent, while the Left holds 9–12 percent and smaller parties hover near or below the 5 percent threshold. AfD gains since 2021 reflect sustained voter priorities on immigration and regional issues in eastern Germany, reinforced by its recent Saxony-Anhalt result. Latest surveys indicate the SPD has modestly narrowed the gap, keeping the most likely seat ranges clustered around 28–35. Trader consensus on these bands aligns with the stable polling average and the short campaign window remaining before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Объем
$48,817Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA shows the AfD leading Mecklenburg-Vorpommern’s September 20 Landtag election with 36–38 percent support, ahead of the SPD at 30–34 percent. This places the AfD on track for the largest share of the 71-plus seats, though still short of a majority. The CDU trails far behind at 7 percent, while the Left holds 9–12 percent and smaller parties hover near or below the 5 percent threshold. AfD gains since 2021 reflect sustained voter priorities on immigration and regional issues in eastern Germany, reinforced by its recent Saxony-Anhalt result. Latest surveys indicate the SPD has modestly narrowed the gap, keeping the most likely seat ranges clustered around 28–35. Trader consensus on these bands aligns with the stable polling average and the short campaign window remaining before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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