The Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election on 20 September 2026 delivered Die Linke just 6.5 percent of the vote, well below the 11 percent threshold. This outcome aligns with polling trends throughout the campaign, where the party hovered between 9 and 12 percent in the final weeks and showed a modest decline from its 9.9 percent share in 2021 amid competition from the SPD-led government and rising AfD support. Late surveys from institutes such as Infratest dimap and Forschungsgruppe Wahlen placed Linke near or under 10 percent, reflecting limited momentum for the junior coalition partner. Trader consensus on the “under” side at 99.5 percent reflects this consistent data and the preliminary count. Certification of final results or any narrow recount adjustments remain the only realistic variables that could alter the figure, though both appear unlikely to push the share above 11 percent.