Recent polls consistently place AfD first and SPD second in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's 20 September Landtag election, leaving Die Linke as the clear third-placed party with around 11% support. This positioning has held steady across multiple surveys from Infratest dimap, Forsa, and INSA through late August and early September, with Linke showing minimal movement while SPD has narrowed the gap to AfD. CDU trails further behind at 8–10%, creating limited scope to overtake Linke before election day. Smaller parties such as Grüne, BSW, and FDP remain at or below the threshold and show no signs of rising into third. With only two weeks remaining, the polling trend and historical patterns of stable late-campaign rankings underpin trader consensus on the likely finishing order.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЛинки 75%
ХДС 25%
FW <1%
BSW <1%
$27,467 Объем
$27,467 Объем
19 сент. 2026 г.
Линки
75%
ХДС
25%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
АдГ
<1%
Зелёные
<1%
СДПГ
<1%
СвДП
<1%
Линки 75%
ХДС 25%
FW <1%
BSW <1%
$27,467 Объем
$27,467 Объем
19 сент. 2026 г.
Линки
$16,482 Объем
75%
ХДС
$5,967 Объем
25%
FW
$1,008 Объем
<1%
BSW
$851 Объем
<1%
АдГ
$665 Объем
<1%
Зелёные
$787 Объем
<1%
СДПГ
$833 Объем
<1%
СвДП
$876 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls consistently place AfD first and SPD second in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's 20 September Landtag election, leaving Die Linke as the clear third-placed party with around 11% support. This positioning has held steady across multiple surveys from Infratest dimap, Forsa, and INSA through late August and early September, with Linke showing minimal movement while SPD has narrowed the gap to AfD. CDU trails further behind at 8–10%, creating limited scope to overtake Linke before election day. Smaller parties such as Grüne, BSW, and FDP remain at or below the threshold and show no signs of rising into third. With only two weeks remaining, the polling trend and historical patterns of stable late-campaign rankings underpin trader consensus on the likely finishing order.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Объем
$27,467Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 8:56 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls consistently place AfD first and SPD second in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's 20 September Landtag election, leaving Die Linke as the clear third-placed party with around 11% support. This positioning has held steady across multiple surveys from Infratest dimap, Forsa, and INSA through late August and early September, with Linke showing minimal movement while SPD has narrowed the gap to AfD. CDU trails further behind at 8–10%, creating limited scope to overtake Linke before election day. Smaller parties such as Grüne, BSW, and FDP remain at or below the threshold and show no signs of rising into third. With only two weeks remaining, the polling trend and historical patterns of stable late-campaign rankings underpin trader consensus on the likely finishing order.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Объем
$27,467Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 8:56 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls consistently place AfD first and SPD second in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's 20 September Landtag election, leaving Die Linke as the clear third-placed party with around 11% support. This positioning has held steady across multiple surveys from Infratest dimap, Forsa, and INSA through late August and early September, with Linke showing minimal movement while SPD has narrowed the gap to AfD. CDU trails further behind at 8–10%, creating limited scope to overtake Linke before election day. Smaller parties such as Grüne, BSW, and FDP remain at or below the threshold and show no signs of rising into third. With only two weeks remaining, the polling trend and historical patterns of stable late-campaign rankings underpin trader consensus on the likely finishing order.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Получит ли СДПГ второе по величине количество мест на парламентских выборах в Мекленбурге-Передней Померании 2026 года?
78%
Да
Выиграет ли АдГ большинство мест на парламентских выборах в Мекленбурге-Передней Померании в 2026 году?
81%
Да
Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
62%
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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