Recent polls ahead of the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the AfD maintaining a narrow lead around 35-37 percent while the SPD has gained ground to 28-32 percent. This positions the SPD as the clear frontrunner for second place behind the AfD, consistent with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Incumbent Minister President Manuela Schwesig remains personally popular, and recent surveys indicate the SPD closing the gap without overtaking the AfD. Other parties, including the Linke near 11 percent, the CDU at or below 10 percent, and smaller groups like the Greens, trail further back with limited momentum. The two-week campaign window offers little scope for major shifts that would alter the expected order of finish.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСДПГ 78%
АдГ 21.4%
ХДС <1%
Зелёные <1%
$39,148 Объем
$39,148 Объем
19 сент. 2026 г.
СДПГ
78%
АдГ
21%
ХДС
<1%
Зелёные
<1%
СвДП
<1%
Левая
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
СДПГ 78%
АдГ 21.4%
ХДС <1%
Зелёные <1%
$39,148 Объем
$39,148 Объем
19 сент. 2026 г.
СДПГ
$18,924 Объем
78%
АдГ
$14,895 Объем
21%
ХДС
$902 Объем
<1%
Зелёные
$909 Объем
<1%
СвДП
$1,034 Объем
<1%
Левая
$815 Объем
<1%
FW
$749 Объем
<1%
BSW
$920 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls ahead of the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the AfD maintaining a narrow lead around 35-37 percent while the SPD has gained ground to 28-32 percent. This positions the SPD as the clear frontrunner for second place behind the AfD, consistent with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Incumbent Minister President Manuela Schwesig remains personally popular, and recent surveys indicate the SPD closing the gap without overtaking the AfD. Other parties, including the Linke near 11 percent, the CDU at or below 10 percent, and smaller groups like the Greens, trail further back with limited momentum. The two-week campaign window offers little scope for major shifts that would alter the expected order of finish.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Объем
$39,148Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls ahead of the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the AfD maintaining a narrow lead around 35-37 percent while the SPD has gained ground to 28-32 percent. This positions the SPD as the clear frontrunner for second place behind the AfD, consistent with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Incumbent Minister President Manuela Schwesig remains personally popular, and recent surveys indicate the SPD closing the gap without overtaking the AfD. Other parties, including the Linke near 11 percent, the CDU at or below 10 percent, and smaller groups like the Greens, trail further back with limited momentum. The two-week campaign window offers little scope for major shifts that would alter the expected order of finish.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Объем
$39,148Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the AfD maintaining a narrow lead around 35-37 percent while the SPD has gained ground to 28-32 percent. This positions the SPD as the clear frontrunner for second place behind the AfD, consistent with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. Incumbent Minister President Manuela Schwesig remains personally popular, and recent surveys indicate the SPD closing the gap without overtaking the AfD. Other parties, including the Linke near 11 percent, the CDU at or below 10 percent, and smaller groups like the Greens, trail further back with limited momentum. The two-week campaign window offers little scope for major shifts that would alter the expected order of finish.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Выиграет ли партия Линки третье по количеству мест число в земельном парламенте Мекленбурга-Передней Померании на выборах 2026 года?
75%
Да
Выиграет ли АдГ большинство мест на парламентских выборах в Мекленбурге-Передней Померании в 2026 году?
82%
Да
Наберёт ли Левая партия от 8% до 11% всех действительных вторых голосов?
49%
Да
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