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Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?

Market icon

Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?

апр. 30

дек. 31

апр. 30

дек. 31

Polymarket

$78,374 Объем

Polymarket

$78,374 Объем

1800

$20,747 Объем

98%

1900

$21,898 Объем

73%

2000

$24,375 Объем

44%

2100

$2,184 Объем

12%

2200

$9,170 Объем

7%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.As of the latest CDC report on March 27, 2026, covering data through March 26, the United States has recorded 1,575 confirmed measles cases year-to-date—94% outbreak-associated across 16 new clusters in 32 jurisdictions—with major hotspots in South Carolina (nearly 1,000 cases since late 2025), Texas (170, largely in detention facilities), Florida, and Arizona. Nearly all (92%) cases are among unvaccinated individuals or those with unknown status, amid declining MMR vaccination coverage (92.5% for kindergarteners in 2024–2025 versus 95% historically) and global importation risks fueling sustained community transmission of this highly contagious paramyxovirus (R0 12–18). Hospitalizations stand at 5%, with no 2026 deaths reported. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over containment, with weekly CDC updates (Thursdays) and state surveillance critical ahead of April 30 resolution; escalation hinges on vaccination drives and outbreak control in under-immunized pockets.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Объем
$78,374
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.As of the latest CDC report on March 27, 2026, covering data through March 26, the United States has recorded 1,575 confirmed measles cases year-to-date—94% outbreak-associated across 16 new clusters in 32 jurisdictions—with major hotspots in South Carolina (nearly 1,000 cases since late 2025), Texas (170, largely in detention facilities), Florida, and Arizona. Nearly all (92%) cases are among unvaccinated individuals or those with unknown status, amid declining MMR vaccination coverage (92.5% for kindergarteners in 2024–2025 versus 95% historically) and global importation risks fueling sustained community transmission of this highly contagious paramyxovirus (R0 12–18). Hospitalizations stand at 5%, with no 2026 deaths reported. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over containment, with weekly CDC updates (Thursdays) and state surveillance critical ahead of April 30 resolution; escalation hinges on vaccination drives and outbreak control in under-immunized pockets.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Объем
$78,374
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «1800» с 98%, за ним следует «1900» с 73%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 98¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 98%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $78.4K с момента запуска рынка Mar 24, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?» — «1800» с 98%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 98%. Следующий ближайший исход — «1900» с 73%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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