Maryland's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 partisan voting index and the incumbent Sarah Elfreth's 2024 general election performance. With the June 23, 2026, primaries approaching, Elfreth faces multiple Democratic challengers while Republicans field a fragmented slate, limiting any credible general election threat. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with the district's consistent results and structural barriers for the opposing party. Late developments such as a primary upset producing an unusually weak Democratic nominee or a significant national shift could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current candidate dynamics make such reversals improbable before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMD-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MD-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$24,366 Объем
$24,366 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
6%
$24,366 Объем
$24,366 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$17,544 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$6,822 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 partisan voting index and the incumbent Sarah Elfreth's 2024 general election performance. With the June 23, 2026, primaries approaching, Elfreth faces multiple Democratic challengers while Republicans field a fragmented slate, limiting any credible general election threat. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with the district's consistent results and structural barriers for the opposing party. Late developments such as a primary upset producing an unusually weak Democratic nominee or a significant national shift could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current candidate dynamics make such reversals improbable before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$24,366Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 partisan voting index and the incumbent Sarah Elfreth's 2024 general election performance. With the June 23, 2026, primaries approaching, Elfreth faces multiple Democratic challengers while Republicans field a fragmented slate, limiting any credible general election threat. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with the district's consistent results and structural barriers for the opposing party. Late developments such as a primary upset producing an unusually weak Democratic nominee or a significant national shift could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current candidate dynamics make such reversals improbable before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$24,366Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 partisan voting index and the incumbent Sarah Elfreth's 2024 general election performance. With the June 23, 2026, primaries approaching, Elfreth faces multiple Democratic challengers while Republicans field a fragmented slate, limiting any credible general election threat. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with the district's consistent results and structural barriers for the opposing party. Late developments such as a primary upset producing an unusually weak Democratic nominee or a significant national shift could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current candidate dynamics make such reversals improbable before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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