Maryland’s 2nd congressional district maintains a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House contests. The seat is held by incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski, who faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republican primary contenders remain low-profile. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the general election a solid or safe Democratic hold for the November 2026 ballot. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns. Unlikely scenarios that could alter the outcome include an unusually strong national Republican wave coinciding with depressed Democratic participation or unforeseen candidate developments after the primaries.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMD-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MD-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$7,695 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$2,181 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 2nd congressional district maintains a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House contests. The seat is held by incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski, who faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republican primary contenders remain low-profile. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the general election a solid or safe Democratic hold for the November 2026 ballot. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns. Unlikely scenarios that could alter the outcome include an unusually strong national Republican wave coinciding with depressed Democratic participation or unforeseen candidate developments after the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$9,876Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 2nd congressional district maintains a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House contests. The seat is held by incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski, who faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republican primary contenders remain low-profile. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the general election a solid or safe Democratic hold for the November 2026 ballot. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns. Unlikely scenarios that could alter the outcome include an unusually strong national Republican wave coinciding with depressed Democratic participation or unforeseen candidate developments after the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$9,876Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 2nd congressional district maintains a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House contests. The seat is held by incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski, who faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republican primary contenders remain low-profile. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the general election a solid or safe Democratic hold for the November 2026 ballot. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns. Unlikely scenarios that could alter the outcome include an unusually strong national Republican wave coinciding with depressed Democratic participation or unforeseen candidate developments after the primaries.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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