The Massachusetts 8th congressional district’s strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Stephen Lynch, who has held the seat since 2001 and won reelection with over 70 percent in 2024, faces only modest primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, Democratic primary, while no competitive Republican candidate has emerged for the November general election. Historical voting patterns in this Boston-area district and limited Republican organizational presence reinforce the low probability assigned to a Republican victory. A late surge by an unusually strong Republican contender or an unforeseen primary upset could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this solidly Democratic territory.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMA-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MA-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$18,516 Объем
$18,516 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
8%
$18,516 Объем
$18,516 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$11,536 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$6,981 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 8th congressional district’s strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Stephen Lynch, who has held the seat since 2001 and won reelection with over 70 percent in 2024, faces only modest primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, Democratic primary, while no competitive Republican candidate has emerged for the November general election. Historical voting patterns in this Boston-area district and limited Republican organizational presence reinforce the low probability assigned to a Republican victory. A late surge by an unusually strong Republican contender or an unforeseen primary upset could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this solidly Democratic territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$18,516Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 8th congressional district’s strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Stephen Lynch, who has held the seat since 2001 and won reelection with over 70 percent in 2024, faces only modest primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, Democratic primary, while no competitive Republican candidate has emerged for the November general election. Historical voting patterns in this Boston-area district and limited Republican organizational presence reinforce the low probability assigned to a Republican victory. A late surge by an unusually strong Republican contender or an unforeseen primary upset could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this solidly Democratic territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$18,516Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 8th congressional district’s strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Stephen Lynch, who has held the seat since 2001 and won reelection with over 70 percent in 2024, faces only modest primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026, Democratic primary, while no competitive Republican candidate has emerged for the November general election. Historical voting patterns in this Boston-area district and limited Republican organizational presence reinforce the low probability assigned to a Republican victory. A late surge by an unusually strong Republican contender or an unforeseen primary upset could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this solidly Democratic territory.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы