Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Spanberger?
Mamdani
$42,569 Объем
$42,569 Объем
Nov 4, 2025
This market will resolve to "Mamdani" if the Democratic candidate’s margin of victory in the 2025 New York City Mayor election is greater than the Democratic candidate’s margin of victory in the 2025 Virginia Governor election.
This market will resolve to "Spanberger" if the Democratic candidate’s margin of victory in the Virginia Governor election is greater than in the New York City Mayor election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the difference in percentage points between the Democratic and Republican candidates’ final vote shares in each election.
If the margin of victory is identical, or if the results of either election are not confirmed by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to the official election authority responsible for conducting each election (the New York City Board of Elections and the Virginia Department of Elections).This market will resolve to "Mamdani" if the Democratic candidate’s margin of victory in the 2025 New York City Mayor election is greater than the Democratic candidate’s margin of victory in the 2025 Virginia Governor election.
This market will resolve to "Spanberger" if the Democratic candidate’s margin of victory in the Virginia Governor election is greater than in the New York City Mayor election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the difference in percentage points between the Democratic and Republican candidates’ final vote shares in each election.
If the margin of victory is identical, or if the results of either election are not confirmed by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to the official election authority responsible for conducting each election (the New York City Board of Elections and the Virginia Department of Elections).
This market will resolve to "Spanberger" if the Democratic candidate’s margin of victory in the Virginia Governor election is greater than in the New York City Mayor election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the difference in percentage points between the Democratic and Republican candidates’ final vote shares in each election.
If the margin of victory is identical, or if the results of either election are not confirmed by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to the official election authority responsible for conducting each election (the New York City Board of Elections and the Virginia Department of Elections).
Дата создания: Oct 7, 2025, 5:51 PM ET
Объем
$42,569Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2025Дата создания
Oct 7, 2025, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Mamdani
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Mamdani
Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Spanberger?
Mamdani
$42,569 Объем
$42,569 Объем
Nov 4, 2025
This market will resolve to "Mamdani" if the Democratic candidate’s margin of victory in the 2025 New York City Mayor election is greater than the Democratic candidate’s margin of victory in the 2025 Virginia Governor election.
This market will resolve to "Spanberger" if the Democratic candidate’s margin of victory in the Virginia Governor election is greater than in the New York City Mayor election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the difference in percentage points between the Democratic and Republican candidates’ final vote shares in each election.
If the margin of victory is identical, or if the results of either election are not confirmed by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to the official election authority responsible for conducting each election (the New York City Board of Elections and the Virginia Department of Elections).This market will resolve to "Mamdani" if the Democratic candidate’s margin of victory in the 2025 New York City Mayor election is greater than the Democratic candidate’s margin of victory in the 2025 Virginia Governor election.
This market will resolve to "Spanberger" if the Democratic candidate’s margin of victory in the Virginia Governor election is greater than in the New York City Mayor election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the difference in percentage points between the Democratic and Republican candidates’ final vote shares in each election.
If the margin of victory is identical, or if the results of either election are not confirmed by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to the official election authority responsible for conducting each election (the New York City Board of Elections and the Virginia Department of Elections).
This market will resolve to "Spanberger" if the Democratic candidate’s margin of victory in the Virginia Governor election is greater than in the New York City Mayor election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the difference in percentage points between the Democratic and Republican candidates’ final vote shares in each election.
If the margin of victory is identical, or if the results of either election are not confirmed by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to the official election authority responsible for conducting each election (the New York City Board of Elections and the Virginia Department of Elections).
Объем
$42,569Дата окончания
Nov 4, 2025Дата создания
Oct 7, 2025, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Mamdani
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Mamdani
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Frequently Asked Questions
"Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Spanberger?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Spanberger?" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Spanberger?" has generated $42.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 7, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Spanberger?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Spanberger?" is "Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Spanberger?" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "Larger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Spanberger?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Frequently Asked Questions