State Sen. Blake Miguez dominates trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability to win Louisiana's 5th Congressional District Republican primary on May 16, propelled by Rep. Julia Letlow vacating the open seat for a U.S. Senate bid, his February 3 campaign launch, President Trump's swift endorsement, and a $3.6 million war chest. Rivals' residency attacks—questioning his New Iberia home outside district lines—peaked recently with Sen. Stewart Cathey's failed legislative resolution two days ago, yet have failed to erode his lead in the crowded twelve-candidate field. Rick Edmonds trails at 8.2% amid limited resources, while recent Caldwell Parish forums highlighted policy priorities without shifting momentum ahead of early voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоLA-05 Republican Primary Winner
LA-05 Republican Primary Winner
Blake Miguez 82%
Misti Cordell 8.3%
Austin Magee 8.3%
Michael Mebruer 8.3%
$28,107 Объем
$28,107 Объем
Blake Miguez
82%
Misti Cordell
8%
Austin Magee
8%
Michael Mebruer
8%
Rick Edmonds
8%
Samuel Wyatt
5%
Michael Echols
4%
Blake Miguez 82%
Misti Cordell 8.3%
Austin Magee 8.3%
Michael Mebruer 8.3%
$28,107 Объем
$28,107 Объем
Blake Miguez
82%
Misti Cordell
8%
Austin Magee
8%
Michael Mebruer
8%
Rick Edmonds
8%
Samuel Wyatt
5%
Michael Echols
4%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 26, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...State Sen. Blake Miguez dominates trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability to win Louisiana's 5th Congressional District Republican primary on May 16, propelled by Rep. Julia Letlow vacating the open seat for a U.S. Senate bid, his February 3 campaign launch, President Trump's swift endorsement, and a $3.6 million war chest. Rivals' residency attacks—questioning his New Iberia home outside district lines—peaked recently with Sen. Stewart Cathey's failed legislative resolution two days ago, yet have failed to erode his lead in the crowded twelve-candidate field. Rick Edmonds trails at 8.2% amid limited resources, while recent Caldwell Parish forums highlighted policy priorities without shifting momentum ahead of early voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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