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icon for Победитель выборов мэра Кракова
Политика·Кракао

Победитель выборов мэра Кракова

icon for Победитель выборов мэра Кракова
Политика·Кракао

Победитель выборов мэра Кракова

Лукаш Гибала 75%

Моника Пентковска 18%

Михал Древницкий 5.5%

Рафаł Комаревич 2.3%

Polymarket

$25,417 Объем

Лукаш Гибала 75%

Моника Пентковска 18%

Михал Древницкий 5.5%

Рафаł Комаревич 2.3%

Polymarket

$25,417 Объем

icon for Лукаш Гибала

Лукаш Гибала

$13,456 Объем

75%

icon for Моника Пентковска

Моника Пентковска

$3,291 Объем

18%

icon for Михал Древницкий

Михал Древницкий

$648 Объем

5%

icon for Рафаł Комаревич

Рафаł Комаревич

$502 Объем

2%

icon for Дарья Госек-Попиолек

Дарья Госек-Попиолек

$495 Объем

1%

icon for Гражина Зофия Свят

Гражина Зофия Свят

$1,061 Объем

1%

icon for Александра Овца

Александра Овца

$645 Объем

1%

icon for Ян Хоффман

Ян Хоффман

$440 Объем

1%

icon for Марта Ратушиньска

Марта Ратушиньска

$482 Объем

1%

icon for Марианна Шрайбер

Марианна Шрайбер

$556 Объем

1%

icon for Мариан Банащ

Мариан Банащ

$760 Объем

<1%

icon for Рафаł Соник

Рафаł Соник

$488 Объем

<1%

icon for Лукаш Вантух

Лукаш Вантух

$483 Объем

<1%

icon for Бартош Боченчак

Бартош Боченчак

$490 Объем

<1%

icon for Павел Шлиз

Павел Шлиз

$559 Объем

<1%

icon for Славомир Петржик

Славомир Петржик

$479 Объем

<1%

icon for Михал Климек

Михал Климек

$584 Объем

<1%

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała leads Kraków's September 27, 2026 mayoral by-election as the clear frontrunner following the May recall referendum that removed incumbent Aleksander Miszalski. Recent polls place the independent Kraków for Residents candidate ahead of Monika Piątkowska (Civic Coalition-backed), Michał Drewnicki (Law and Justice), and smaller-party or independent contenders. Gibała's positioning stems from his strong local record as a city councillor, repeated mayoral bids including a narrow 2024 runoff defeat, and appeal as a non-partisan alternative amid voter backlash against party-linked governance. Signature verification hurdles affected multiple candidates, including Gibała, yet his team secured registration while several others were rejected or remain marginal. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, with fragmented opposition and Gibała's established base supporting his elevated probability ahead of the first-round vote and potential October runoff.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Объем
$25,417
Дата окончания
27 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała leads Kraków's September 27, 2026 mayoral by-election as the clear frontrunner following the May recall referendum that removed incumbent Aleksander Miszalski. Recent polls place the independent Kraków for Residents candidate ahead of Monika Piątkowska (Civic Coalition-backed), Michał Drewnicki (Law and Justice), and smaller-party or independent contenders. Gibała's positioning stems from his strong local record as a city councillor, repeated mayoral bids including a narrow 2024 runoff defeat, and appeal as a non-partisan alternative amid voter backlash against party-linked governance. Signature verification hurdles affected multiple candidates, including Gibała, yet his team secured registration while several others were rejected or remain marginal. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, with fragmented opposition and Gibała's established base supporting his elevated probability ahead of the first-round vote and potential October runoff.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Объем
$25,417
Дата окончания
27 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Петер Фиабане выборы мэра Жилины в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли Петер Фиабане выборы мэра Жилины в 2026 году?

74%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Ладислав Лёринц выборы мэра Кошице в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли Ладислав Лёринц выборы мэра Кошице в 2026 году?

44%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Матуш Валло выборы мэра Братиславы в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли Матуш Валло выборы мэра Братиславы в 2026 году?

88%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов мэра Кракова» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 17 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Лукаш Гибала» с 75%, за ним следует «Моника Пентковска» с 18%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 75¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 75%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов мэра Кракова» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $25.4K с момента запуска рынка Aug 6, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов мэра Кракова», просмотри 17 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов мэра Кракова» — «Лукаш Гибала» с 75%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 75%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Моника Пентковска» с 18%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов мэра Кракова» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.