The account @khamenei_ir, maintained after Ali Khamenei's March 2026 assassination and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession, has adopted a low-volume pattern of infrequent reposts of archival statements and occasional new messages tied to religious commemorations or foreign policy themes. This established rhythm, confirmed across recent comparable weekly markets, underpins the market's strong consensus on fewer than five posts for August 14–21. Escalation in regional conflicts, major Iranian holidays, or coordinated official statements could increase activity enough to test that range, though historical patterns since the transition suggest such bursts remain rare within a single week.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоKhamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$21,305 Объем
$21,305 Объем
21 авг. 2026 г.
<5
Yes
5-9
No
10-14
No
15-19
No
20-24
No
25-29
No
30-34
No
35-39
No
40-44
No
45-49
No
50-54
No
55-59
No
60+
No
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$21,305 Объем
$21,305 Объем
21 авг. 2026 г.
<5
$7,779 Объем
Yes
5-9
$3,026 Объем
No
10-14
$2,018 Объем
No
15-19
$1,977 Объем
No
20-24
$1,300 Объем
No
25-29
$1,416 Объем
No
30-34
$1,396 Объем
No
35-39
$396 Объем
No
40-44
$370 Объем
No
45-49
$330 Объем
No
50-54
$430 Объем
No
55-59
$437 Объем
No
60+
$430 Объем
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The account @khamenei_ir, maintained after Ali Khamenei's March 2026 assassination and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession, has adopted a low-volume pattern of infrequent reposts of archival statements and occasional new messages tied to religious commemorations or foreign policy themes. This established rhythm, confirmed across recent comparable weekly markets, underpins the market's strong consensus on fewer than five posts for August 14–21. Escalation in regional conflicts, major Iranian holidays, or coordinated official statements could increase activity enough to test that range, though historical patterns since the transition suggest such bursts remain rare within a single week.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Объем
$21,305Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/khamenei_irКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The account @khamenei_ir, maintained after Ali Khamenei's March 2026 assassination and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession, has adopted a low-volume pattern of infrequent reposts of archival statements and occasional new messages tied to religious commemorations or foreign policy themes. This established rhythm, confirmed across recent comparable weekly markets, underpins the market's strong consensus on fewer than five posts for August 14–21. Escalation in regional conflicts, major Iranian holidays, or coordinated official statements could increase activity enough to test that range, though historical patterns since the transition suggest such bursts remain rare within a single week.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$21,305Дата окончания
21 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/khamenei_irКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Yes
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Yes
The account @khamenei_ir, maintained after Ali Khamenei's March 2026 assassination and Mojtaba Khamenei's succession, has adopted a low-volume pattern of infrequent reposts of archival statements and occasional new messages tied to religious commemorations or foreign policy themes. This established rhythm, confirmed across recent comparable weekly markets, underpins the market's strong consensus on fewer than five posts for August 14–21. Escalation in regional conflicts, major Iranian holidays, or coordinated official statements could increase activity enough to test that range, though historical patterns since the transition suggest such bursts remain rare within a single week.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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