Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff holds a consistent lead in recent Georgia polling for his 2026 re-election bid against Republican nominee Mike Collins, with margins ranging from 4 to 13 points across surveys conducted through July. Forecasters rate the contest as leaning or likely Democratic, reflecting Ossoff's incumbency advantages, strong fundraising, and support among independents and younger voters in a state with narrow partisan divides. Raphael Warnock faces no Senate election until 2028. This positioning underpins trader consensus on both senators retaining their seats through the cycle. Potential shifts could stem from changes in national economic conditions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or late developments in the general election period before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
5% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
5% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff holds a consistent lead in recent Georgia polling for his 2026 re-election bid against Republican nominee Mike Collins, with margins ranging from 4 to 13 points across surveys conducted through July. Forecasters rate the contest as leaning or likely Democratic, reflecting Ossoff's incumbency advantages, strong fundraising, and support among independents and younger voters in a state with narrow partisan divides. Raphael Warnock faces no Senate election until 2028. This positioning underpins trader consensus on both senators retaining their seats through the cycle. Potential shifts could stem from changes in national economic conditions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or late developments in the general election period before November.
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Открытие рынка: Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ET
Объем
$1,074Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff holds a consistent lead in recent Georgia polling for his 2026 re-election bid against Republican nominee Mike Collins, with margins ranging from 4 to 13 points across surveys conducted through July. Forecasters rate the contest as leaning or likely Democratic, reflecting Ossoff's incumbency advantages, strong fundraising, and support among independents and younger voters in a state with narrow partisan divides. Raphael Warnock faces no Senate election until 2028. This positioning underpins trader consensus on both senators retaining their seats through the cycle. Potential shifts could stem from changes in national economic conditions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or late developments in the general election period before November.
This market will resolve as Yes if either Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock formally ceases to hold the position of United States Senator by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve as "No."
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, expulsion, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be statements from Jon Ossoff, Raphael Warnock, the offices of Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock, and the United States Senate.
Объем
$1,074Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff holds a consistent lead in recent Georgia polling for his 2026 re-election bid against Republican nominee Mike Collins, with margins ranging from 4 to 13 points across surveys conducted through July. Forecasters rate the contest as leaning or likely Democratic, reflecting Ossoff's incumbency advantages, strong fundraising, and support among independents and younger voters in a state with narrow partisan divides. Raphael Warnock faces no Senate election until 2028. This positioning underpins trader consensus on both senators retaining their seats through the cycle. Potential shifts could stem from changes in national economic conditions, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or late developments in the general election period before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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