Recent readings of Japan’s core-core CPI, excluding fresh food and energy, have hovered near 1.8-1.9% year-over-year through July 2026, with Tokyo’s August figure reaching 2.0%, supporting the 58.5% market-implied probability for a 2.0-2.4% annual outcome. The Bank of Japan’s July outlook anticipates underlying inflation moving toward its 2% target amid wage growth, yen depreciation, and AI-driven demand pressures, though core measures have remained below target for seven straight months. Upward risks from Middle East energy costs and broadening price pass-through are balanced against base effects and policy normalization, with the September 17-18 BOJ meeting serving as a key near-term catalyst for trader sentiment on the full-year path.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоJapan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
2.0-2.4% 59%
≤1.9% 42%
3,0–3,4% <1%
2.5-2.9% <1%
$43,177 Объем
$43,177 Объем
12 фев. 2027 г.
≤1.9%
42%
2.0-2.4%
59%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3,0–3,4%
1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4,0%+
<1%
2.0-2.4% 59%
≤1.9% 42%
3,0–3,4% <1%
2.5-2.9% <1%
$43,177 Объем
$43,177 Объем
12 фев. 2027 г.
≤1.9%
$12,404 Объем
42%
2.0-2.4%
$17,113 Объем
59%
2.5-2.9%
$9,443 Объем
1%
3,0–3,4%
$1,322 Объем
1%
3.5-3.9%
$1,326 Объем
<1%
4,0%+
$1,569 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent readings of Japan’s core-core CPI, excluding fresh food and energy, have hovered near 1.8-1.9% year-over-year through July 2026, with Tokyo’s August figure reaching 2.0%, supporting the 58.5% market-implied probability for a 2.0-2.4% annual outcome. The Bank of Japan’s July outlook anticipates underlying inflation moving toward its 2% target amid wage growth, yen depreciation, and AI-driven demand pressures, though core measures have remained below target for seven straight months. Upward risks from Middle East energy costs and broadening price pass-through are balanced against base effects and policy normalization, with the September 17-18 BOJ meeting serving as a key near-term catalyst for trader sentiment on the full-year path.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Открытие рынка: Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Объем
$43,177Дата окончания
12 фев. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent readings of Japan’s core-core CPI, excluding fresh food and energy, have hovered near 1.8-1.9% year-over-year through July 2026, with Tokyo’s August figure reaching 2.0%, supporting the 58.5% market-implied probability for a 2.0-2.4% annual outcome. The Bank of Japan’s July outlook anticipates underlying inflation moving toward its 2% target amid wage growth, yen depreciation, and AI-driven demand pressures, though core measures have remained below target for seven straight months. Upward risks from Middle East energy costs and broadening price pass-through are balanced against base effects and policy normalization, with the September 17-18 BOJ meeting serving as a key near-term catalyst for trader sentiment on the full-year path.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Объем
$43,177Дата окончания
12 фев. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent readings of Japan’s core-core CPI, excluding fresh food and energy, have hovered near 1.8-1.9% year-over-year through July 2026, with Tokyo’s August figure reaching 2.0%, supporting the 58.5% market-implied probability for a 2.0-2.4% annual outcome. The Bank of Japan’s July outlook anticipates underlying inflation moving toward its 2% target amid wage growth, yen depreciation, and AI-driven demand pressures, though core measures have remained below target for seven straight months. Upward risks from Middle East energy costs and broadening price pass-through are balanced against base effects and policy normalization, with the September 17-18 BOJ meeting serving as a key near-term catalyst for trader sentiment on the full-year path.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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