US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon continue under a June 2026 framework agreement focused on phased IDF redeployment from southern buffer zones, Lebanese Armed Forces deployment, and verified Hezbollah disarmament. The most recent development is the postponement of the next formal round from Rome to October due to scheduling, with Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors instead set to meet at the US State Department in Washington to advance implementation. Lebanese officials have stated no new negotiations are underway until full withdrawal, while Israeli positions tie progress to security guarantees against Hezbollah rearmament. These steps reflect ongoing diplomatic efforts amid persistent border tensions and violations, with trader assessments of near-term meetings shaped by US facilitation and domestic political constraints on both sides.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$832,202 Объем
1 сент. 2026 г.
August 31
No
9 сентября
Нет
11 сентября
Нет
13 сентября
Нет
15 сентября
Да
16 сентября
Да
17 сентября
Да
18 сентября
Да
25 сентября
Да
September 30
Yes
$832,202 Объем
August 31
$208,505 Объем
No
9 сентября
$24,308 Объем
Нет
11 сентября
$15,706 Объем
Нет
13 сентября
$25,214 Объем
Нет
15 сентября
$185,016 Объем
Да
16 сентября
$11,017 Объем
Да
17 сентября
$14,305 Объем
Да
18 сентября
$119,719 Объем
Да
25 сентября
$47,877 Объем
Да
September 30
$180,534 Объем
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon continue under a June 2026 framework agreement focused on phased IDF redeployment from southern buffer zones, Lebanese Armed Forces deployment, and verified Hezbollah disarmament. The most recent development is the postponement of the next formal round from Rome to October due to scheduling, with Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors instead set to meet at the US State Department in Washington to advance implementation. Lebanese officials have stated no new negotiations are underway until full withdrawal, while Israeli positions tie progress to security guarantees against Hezbollah rearmament. These steps reflect ongoing diplomatic efforts amid persistent border tensions and violations, with trader assessments of near-term meetings shaped by US facilitation and domestic political constraints on both sides.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Объем
$832,202Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Yes
Оспаривается
Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon continue under a June 2026 framework agreement focused on phased IDF redeployment from southern buffer zones, Lebanese Armed Forces deployment, and verified Hezbollah disarmament. The most recent development is the postponement of the next formal round from Rome to October due to scheduling, with Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors instead set to meet at the US State Department in Washington to advance implementation. Lebanese officials have stated no new negotiations are underway until full withdrawal, while Israeli positions tie progress to security guarantees against Hezbollah rearmament. These steps reflect ongoing diplomatic efforts amid persistent border tensions and violations, with trader assessments of near-term meetings shaped by US facilitation and domestic political constraints on both sides.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$832,202Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Yes
Оспаривается
Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
US-mediated talks between Israel and Lebanon continue under a June 2026 framework agreement focused on phased IDF redeployment from southern buffer zones, Lebanese Armed Forces deployment, and verified Hezbollah disarmament. The most recent development is the postponement of the next formal round from Rome to October due to scheduling, with Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors instead set to meet at the US State Department in Washington to advance implementation. Lebanese officials have stated no new negotiations are underway until full withdrawal, while Israeli positions tie progress to security guarantees against Hezbollah rearmament. These steps reflect ongoing diplomatic efforts amid persistent border tensions and violations, with trader assessments of near-term meetings shaped by US facilitation and domestic political constraints on both sides.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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