US-mediated talks between Israeli and Lebanese officials have produced a June 2026 framework agreement outlining Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, deployment of Lebanese Armed Forces, and steps toward Hezbollah disarmament. Multiple rounds of direct Washington meetings, including military participation, have advanced this security track amid repeated ceasefire extensions and violations. Hezbollah's subsequent rejection of the deal as undermining sovereignty, combined with renewed cross-border strikes, now shapes trader assessments of whether additional high-level diplomatic sessions can occur before key deadlines. Scheduled follow-on negotiations and any escalation or de-escalation signals from Hezbollah or the US remain primary variables for near-term market movement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$237,678 Объем
10 июл. 2026 г.
10 июля
Нет
13 июля
Нет
14 июля
Да
15 июля
Да
16 июля
Да
17 июля
Да
31 июля
Да
$237,678 Объем
10 июля
$23,478 Объем
Нет
13 июля
$10,669 Объем
Нет
14 июля
$83,878 Объем
Да
15 июля
$18,507 Объем
Да
16 июля
$9,935 Объем
Да
17 июля
$68,655 Объем
Да
31 июля
$22,557 Объем
Да
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated talks between Israeli and Lebanese officials have produced a June 2026 framework agreement outlining Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, deployment of Lebanese Armed Forces, and steps toward Hezbollah disarmament. Multiple rounds of direct Washington meetings, including military participation, have advanced this security track amid repeated ceasefire extensions and violations. Hezbollah's subsequent rejection of the deal as undermining sovereignty, combined with renewed cross-border strikes, now shapes trader assessments of whether additional high-level diplomatic sessions can occur before key deadlines. Scheduled follow-on negotiations and any escalation or de-escalation signals from Hezbollah or the US remain primary variables for near-term market movement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jun 30, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
Объем
$237,678Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 1:23 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated talks between Israeli and Lebanese officials have produced a June 2026 framework agreement outlining Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, deployment of Lebanese Armed Forces, and steps toward Hezbollah disarmament. Multiple rounds of direct Washington meetings, including military participation, have advanced this security track amid repeated ceasefire extensions and violations. Hezbollah's subsequent rejection of the deal as undermining sovereignty, combined with renewed cross-border strikes, now shapes trader assessments of whether additional high-level diplomatic sessions can occur before key deadlines. Scheduled follow-on negotiations and any escalation or de-escalation signals from Hezbollah or the US remain primary variables for near-term market movement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$237,678Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 1:23 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
US-mediated talks between Israeli and Lebanese officials have produced a June 2026 framework agreement outlining Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, deployment of Lebanese Armed Forces, and steps toward Hezbollah disarmament. Multiple rounds of direct Washington meetings, including military participation, have advanced this security track amid repeated ceasefire extensions and violations. Hezbollah's subsequent rejection of the deal as undermining sovereignty, combined with renewed cross-border strikes, now shapes trader assessments of whether additional high-level diplomatic sessions can occur before key deadlines. Scheduled follow-on negotiations and any escalation or de-escalation signals from Hezbollah or the US remain primary variables for near-term market movement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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