Israel and Lebanon are set for historic direct diplomatic talks on April 15, 2026, at the US State Department—the first in over 30 years—US-brokered amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war with Hezbollah. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu approved the envoys' meeting to prioritize Hezbollah disarmament south of the Litani River and border security, rejecting a ceasefire beforehand due to persistent rocket fire on northern Israel. Lebanon's government seeks Israeli withdrawal from border areas, but Hezbollah's rejection and recent attacks, including on 13 Israeli towns, heighten risks of cancellation or escalation. Traders weigh this scheduled diplomacy against battlefield dynamics and potential US pressure under President Trump for de-escalation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$475,363 Объем
30 апр. 2026 г.
12 апреля
Нет
14 апреля
Да
19 апреля
Да
30 апреля
Да
$475,363 Объем
12 апреля
$90,350 Объем
Нет
14 апреля
$195,518 Объем
Да
19 апреля
$122,896 Объем
Да
30 апреля
$66,597 Объем
Да
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.Israel and Lebanon are set for historic direct diplomatic talks on April 15, 2026, at the US State Department—the first in over 30 years—US-brokered amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war with Hezbollah. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu approved the envoys' meeting to prioritize Hezbollah disarmament south of the Litani River and border security, rejecting a ceasefire beforehand due to persistent rocket fire on northern Israel. Lebanon's government seeks Israeli withdrawal from border areas, but Hezbollah's rejection and recent attacks, including on 13 Israeli towns, heighten risks of cancellation or escalation. Traders weigh this scheduled diplomacy against battlefield dynamics and potential US pressure under President Trump for de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Apr 9, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
Объем
$475,363Дата окончания
14 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.Israel and Lebanon are set for historic direct diplomatic talks on April 15, 2026, at the US State Department—the first in over 30 years—US-brokered amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war with Hezbollah. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu approved the envoys' meeting to prioritize Hezbollah disarmament south of the Litani River and border security, rejecting a ceasefire beforehand due to persistent rocket fire on northern Israel. Lebanon's government seeks Israeli withdrawal from border areas, but Hezbollah's rejection and recent attacks, including on 13 Israeli towns, heighten risks of cancellation or escalation. Traders weigh this scheduled diplomacy against battlefield dynamics and potential US pressure under President Trump for de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$475,363Дата окончания
14 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Israel and Lebanon are set for historic direct diplomatic talks on April 15, 2026, at the US State Department—the first in over 30 years—US-brokered amid the ongoing 2026 Lebanon war with Hezbollah. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu approved the envoys' meeting to prioritize Hezbollah disarmament south of the Litani River and border security, rejecting a ceasefire beforehand due to persistent rocket fire on northern Israel. Lebanon's government seeks Israeli withdrawal from border areas, but Hezbollah's rejection and recent attacks, including on 13 Israeli towns, heighten risks of cancellation or escalation. Traders weigh this scheduled diplomacy against battlefield dynamics and potential US pressure under President Trump for de-escalation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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