**Recent polling averages place Yisrael Beiteinu at roughly 8 seats ahead of the October 27, 2026 Knesset election, aligning with the market’s leading 8-9 outcome.** Multiple pollsters, including Midgam, Kantar, and others released in the past week, have shown the party—led by Avigdor Lieberman—consistently in the 7–9 seat range, with averages near 8.1 across recent surveys. The party’s secular-nationalist profile, emphasis on Haredi draft enforcement, and refusal to join coalitions with Haredi parties or serve under Netanyahu have kept its support stable among its core voters amid a fragmented race. Neither the Netanyahu-aligned bloc nor the main opposition has approached a 61-seat majority in most aggregates, leaving smaller parties like Beiteinu as potential swing factors whose exact totals remain sensitive to turnout and late shifts. Polls show modest variation (5–10 seats), supporting the elevated probabilities on 6–7 and 10–11 while keeping outcomes outside that band at lower implied odds. No major catalyst has materially altered the party’s standing in the final stretch.