Recent polling averages across multiple outlets place United Torah Judaism at seven to eight Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting the party’s stable Ashkenazi Haredi voter base and consistent performance near the upper end of that range. A surplus-vote agreement signed with Shas on October 11 aims to maximize combined representation on core religious issues, including yeshiva student exemptions. Chairman Yaakov Asher has conditioned coalition participation on prior passage of draft legislation, while active campaigning and new headquarters openings target higher turnout in key areas like Jerusalem. A newer Haredi list has yet to register meaningfully in surveys, leaving trader consensus centered on the 7-8 seat band as the most probable outcome.