**National Unity (Blue and White), the party formerly led by Benny Gantz, consistently polls well below the 3.25% electoral threshold required for Knesset representation in surveys ahead of the October 27 election.** Recent polling averages place it around 0.7% or lower, with most outlets showing it failing to clear the threshold entirely. This stems from Gantz’s earlier departure dynamics, the June split when Gadi Eisenkot left to form the stronger-performing Yashar party, and the broader fragmentation of centrist lists. Competing new parties led by figures such as Yoaz Hendel and Gilad Erdan have similarly struggled, reinforcing the collapse in support. Late shifts from a major security event or unexpected alliance could theoretically alter trajectories, though current data and the short campaign window leave little room for recovery. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers and sustained low survey results.