Recent polling averages place the Religious Zionism-Zehut joint list at roughly six Knesset seats, aligning with the tight market distribution between the 4-5 and 6-7 seat brackets. The alliance between Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionism and Moshe Feiglin’s Zehut has stabilized support among religious-nationalist voters ahead of the October 27 vote, helping clear the 3.25 percent threshold more consistently than either party might alone. However, competition from Otzma Yehudit and Amcha Yisrael for overlapping right-wing constituencies, combined with broader bloc deadlock near 50-52 seats, keeps outcomes sensitive to turnout shifts and late voter movement. Surplus-vote pacts and final-week campaigning could still alter the precise seat total within the narrow range traders currently favor.
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