Recent polling for Israel's October 27 election shows the Reservists-Economic Party, led by Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelekha with Einat Wilf, consistently near the 3.25% electoral threshold, projecting 3–5 Knesset seats in several Maariv, Channel 12, and Channel 14 surveys while falling short in others. This variability, combined with the party's late-September alliance formation and platform emphasizing universal conscription, reservist support, tax reductions, and competition reforms, has shaped trader assessments of its final vote share. The election's proximity adds uncertainty around turnout and last-minute shifts among undecided voters, keeping implied probabilities concentrated below 3.25% despite some upward polling movement.
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