Incumbent Rep. Mike Quigley (D) secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary with 66% of the vote against three challengers, setting up a fifth general election rematch against Tom Hanson (R), who won his low-turnout primary with 72%. This matchup in the D+19 district—rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report—reflects trader consensus on Quigley's commanding position, bolstered by consistent 30-point-plus margins in prior cycles (69%-31% in 2024) and superior fundraising with over $1.2 million cash on hand. While a massive national Republican wave, Quigley scandal, or health issue could shift odds before the November 3 general election, historical precedents suggest minimal upset risk in this safe seat.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоIL-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
IL-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Демократическая партия
93%
Республиканская партия
6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Демократическая партия
$0 Объем
93%
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mike Quigley (D) secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary with 66% of the vote against three challengers, setting up a fifth general election rematch against Tom Hanson (R), who won his low-turnout primary with 72%. This matchup in the D+19 district—rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report—reflects trader consensus on Quigley's commanding position, bolstered by consistent 30-point-plus margins in prior cycles (69%-31% in 2024) and superior fundraising with over $1.2 million cash on hand. While a massive national Republican wave, Quigley scandal, or health issue could shift odds before the November 3 general election, historical precedents suggest minimal upset risk in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mike Quigley (D) secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary with 66% of the vote against three challengers, setting up a fifth general election rematch against Tom Hanson (R), who won his low-turnout primary with 72%. This matchup in the D+19 district—rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report—reflects trader consensus on Quigley's commanding position, bolstered by consistent 30-point-plus margins in prior cycles (69%-31% in 2024) and superior fundraising with over $1.2 million cash on hand. While a massive national Republican wave, Quigley scandal, or health issue could shift odds before the November 3 general election, historical precedents suggest minimal upset risk in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Mike Quigley (D) secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary with 66% of the vote against three challengers, setting up a fifth general election rematch against Tom Hanson (R), who won his low-turnout primary with 72%. This matchup in the D+19 district—rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report—reflects trader consensus on Quigley's commanding position, bolstered by consistent 30-point-plus margins in prior cycles (69%-31% in 2024) and superior fundraising with over $1.2 million cash on hand. While a massive national Republican wave, Quigley scandal, or health issue could shift odds before the November 3 general election, historical precedents suggest minimal upset risk in this safe seat.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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