Illinois' 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17, 2026 primary and will face Republican nominee Tommy Hanson in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, underscoring limited competitive pathways for the challenger in this urban and suburban Chicago area. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, including Quigley's long tenure since 2009 and prior wide margins. A significant national political shift, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually elevated Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such developments remain unlikely to overcome the established partisan advantage before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоIL-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
IL-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$7,411 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$1,493 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois' 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17, 2026 primary and will face Republican nominee Tommy Hanson in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, underscoring limited competitive pathways for the challenger in this urban and suburban Chicago area. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, including Quigley's long tenure since 2009 and prior wide margins. A significant national political shift, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually elevated Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such developments remain unlikely to overcome the established partisan advantage before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$8,904Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois' 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17, 2026 primary and will face Republican nominee Tommy Hanson in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, underscoring limited competitive pathways for the challenger in this urban and suburban Chicago area. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, including Quigley's long tenure since 2009 and prior wide margins. A significant national political shift, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually elevated Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such developments remain unlikely to overcome the established partisan advantage before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$8,904Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois' 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17, 2026 primary and will face Republican nominee Tommy Hanson in the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, underscoring limited competitive pathways for the challenger in this urban and suburban Chicago area. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, including Quigley's long tenure since 2009 and prior wide margins. A significant national political shift, major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually elevated Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such developments remain unlikely to overcome the established partisan advantage before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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