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If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

Market icon

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

Harris

>99% вероятность
Polymarket

$2,060,167 Объем

Harris

>99% вероятность
Polymarket

$2,060,167 Объем

This market is on if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. drops out of the 2024 presidential race, whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump’s relative position will improve more. Resolution will be based on the Real Clear Politics (RCP) daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris. The market will resolve according to the RCP polling averages for Trump and Harris on the day RFK Jr. drops out (Day 0) compared with the polling averages for Trump and Harris on the the seventh day after his withdrawal (Day 7) once RCP has published numbers for the the eighth day (Day 8). If Harris's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Harris". If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump". If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50. If RFK Jr. does not drop out by October 27, 2024, 11:59 PM ET the market will resolve to 50-50.

This market is on if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. drops out of the 2024 presidential race, whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump’s relative position will improve more. Resolution will be based on the Real Clear Politics (RCP) daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris.

The market will resolve according to the RCP polling averages for Trump and Harris on the day RFK Jr. drops out (Day 0) compared with the polling averages for Trump and Harris on the the seventh day after his withdrawal (Day 7) once RCP has published numbers for the the eighth day (Day 8).

If Harris's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Harris".

If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump".

If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50.

If RFK Jr. does not drop out by October 27, 2024, 11:59 PM ET the market will resolve to 50-50.
Объем
$2,060,167
Дата окончания
27 окт. 2024 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2024, 12:41 PM ET
This market is on if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. drops out of the 2024 presidential race, whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump’s relative position will improve more. Resolution will be based on the Real Clear Politics (RCP) daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris. The market will resolve according to the RCP polling averages for Trump and Harris on the day RFK Jr. drops out (Day 0) compared with the polling averages for Trump and Harris on the the seventh day after his withdrawal (Day 7) once RCP has published numbers for the the eighth day (Day 8). If Harris's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Harris". If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump". If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50. If RFK Jr. does not drop out by October 27, 2024, 11:59 PM ET the market will resolve to 50-50.

Предложенный исход: Harris

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Harris

This market is on if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. drops out of the 2024 presidential race, whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump’s relative position will improve more. Resolution will be based on the Real Clear Politics (RCP) daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris. The market will resolve according to the RCP polling averages for Trump and Harris on the day RFK Jr. drops out (Day 0) compared with the polling averages for Trump and Harris on the the seventh day after his withdrawal (Day 7) once RCP has published numbers for the the eighth day (Day 8). If Harris's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Harris". If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump". If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50. If RFK Jr. does not drop out by October 27, 2024, 11:59 PM ET the market will resolve to 50-50.

This market is on if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. drops out of the 2024 presidential race, whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump’s relative position will improve more. Resolution will be based on the Real Clear Politics (RCP) daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris.

The market will resolve according to the RCP polling averages for Trump and Harris on the day RFK Jr. drops out (Day 0) compared with the polling averages for Trump and Harris on the the seventh day after his withdrawal (Day 7) once RCP has published numbers for the the eighth day (Day 8).

If Harris's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Harris".

If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump".

If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50.

If RFK Jr. does not drop out by October 27, 2024, 11:59 PM ET the market will resolve to 50-50.
Объем
$2,060,167
Дата окончания
27 окт. 2024 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 21, 2024, 12:41 PM ET
This market is on if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. drops out of the 2024 presidential race, whether Kamala Harris or Donald Trump’s relative position will improve more. Resolution will be based on the Real Clear Politics (RCP) daily polling averages chart labeled "Trump vs. Harris", available at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris. The market will resolve according to the RCP polling averages for Trump and Harris on the day RFK Jr. drops out (Day 0) compared with the polling averages for Trump and Harris on the the seventh day after his withdrawal (Day 7) once RCP has published numbers for the the eighth day (Day 8). If Harris's polling average increases more/decreases less than Trump's, the market will resolve to "Harris". If Trump's polling average increases more/decreases less than Harris's, the market will resolve to "Trump". If both candidates' polling averages increase/decrease by the same amount, the market will resolve to 50-50. If RFK Jr. does not drop out by October 27, 2024, 11:59 PM ET the market will resolve to 50-50.

Предложенный исход: Harris

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Harris

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?» с 100%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $2.1 million с момента запуска рынка Aug 21, 2024. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

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Текущий фаворит для «If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?» — «If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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