The Idaho 1st congressional district's consistent Republican performance in recent election cycles underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 96.8 percent. Primary factors include the district's strong partisan lean, the incumbent's established voter base across rural and suburban areas, and limited Democratic recruitment or fundraising activity ahead of the 2026 midterms. Historical patterns show the seat has remained in Republican hands with double-digit margins, limiting any meaningful shift from national polling trends or candidate announcements. A late primary challenge, unexpected scandal involving the frontrunner, or an unusually strong Democratic recruit could narrow the gap, though such developments have not materialized in the current cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоID-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
ID-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$34,000 Объем
$34,000 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
97%
Демократическая партия
3%
$34,000 Объем
$34,000 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$21,177 Объем
97%
Демократическая партия
$12,822 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Idaho 1st congressional district's consistent Republican performance in recent election cycles underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 96.8 percent. Primary factors include the district's strong partisan lean, the incumbent's established voter base across rural and suburban areas, and limited Democratic recruitment or fundraising activity ahead of the 2026 midterms. Historical patterns show the seat has remained in Republican hands with double-digit margins, limiting any meaningful shift from national polling trends or candidate announcements. A late primary challenge, unexpected scandal involving the frontrunner, or an unusually strong Democratic recruit could narrow the gap, though such developments have not materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Объем
$34,000Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Idaho 1st congressional district's consistent Republican performance in recent election cycles underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 96.8 percent. Primary factors include the district's strong partisan lean, the incumbent's established voter base across rural and suburban areas, and limited Democratic recruitment or fundraising activity ahead of the 2026 midterms. Historical patterns show the seat has remained in Republican hands with double-digit margins, limiting any meaningful shift from national polling trends or candidate announcements. A late primary challenge, unexpected scandal involving the frontrunner, or an unusually strong Democratic recruit could narrow the gap, though such developments have not materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$34,000Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Idaho 1st congressional district's consistent Republican performance in recent election cycles underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 96.8 percent. Primary factors include the district's strong partisan lean, the incumbent's established voter base across rural and suburban areas, and limited Democratic recruitment or fundraising activity ahead of the 2026 midterms. Historical patterns show the seat has remained in Republican hands with double-digit margins, limiting any meaningful shift from national polling trends or candidate announcements. A late primary challenge, unexpected scandal involving the frontrunner, or an unusually strong Democratic recruit could narrow the gap, though such developments have not materialized in the current cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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