Recent redistricting enacted by Texas Republicans in 2025 and upheld by the courts has redrawn several Democratic-held districts, including those of incumbents like Marc Veasey, Vicente Gonzalez, and Lloyd Doggett, aiming for a net GOP gain of two to five seats from the current 13 Democratic holdings out of 38 total. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 10–12 seats because a small number of South Texas battlegrounds (notably TX-15, TX-28, and TX-34) plus suburban open seats remain competitive, with ratings from sources like the Cook Political Report reflecting uncertainty over Latino voter trends, turnout patterns, and national midterm dynamics favoring the out-of-party. Multiple retirements and primary shifts add further variability. Stronger-than-expected Democratic performance in those targeted districts or shifts in suburban turnout could push totals higher, while consolidated Republican margins in redrawn areas could cap gains near single digits.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено12 20%
11 18%
10 17%
13 16%
$11,920 Объем
$11,920 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
<8
<1%
8
7%
9
11%
10
17%
11
18%
12
20%
13
16%
14+
10%
12 20%
11 18%
10 17%
13 16%
$11,920 Объем
$11,920 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
<8
$220 Объем
<1%
8
$3,686 Объем
7%
9
$1,046 Объем
11%
10
$1,359 Объем
17%
11
$608 Объем
18%
12
$674 Объем
20%
13
$1,450 Объем
16%
14+
$2,878 Объем
10%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent redistricting enacted by Texas Republicans in 2025 and upheld by the courts has redrawn several Democratic-held districts, including those of incumbents like Marc Veasey, Vicente Gonzalez, and Lloyd Doggett, aiming for a net GOP gain of two to five seats from the current 13 Democratic holdings out of 38 total. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 10–12 seats because a small number of South Texas battlegrounds (notably TX-15, TX-28, and TX-34) plus suburban open seats remain competitive, with ratings from sources like the Cook Political Report reflecting uncertainty over Latino voter trends, turnout patterns, and national midterm dynamics favoring the out-of-party. Multiple retirements and primary shifts add further variability. Stronger-than-expected Democratic performance in those targeted districts or shifts in suburban turnout could push totals higher, while consolidated Republican margins in redrawn areas could cap gains near single digits.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Объем
$11,920Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent redistricting enacted by Texas Republicans in 2025 and upheld by the courts has redrawn several Democratic-held districts, including those of incumbents like Marc Veasey, Vicente Gonzalez, and Lloyd Doggett, aiming for a net GOP gain of two to five seats from the current 13 Democratic holdings out of 38 total. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 10–12 seats because a small number of South Texas battlegrounds (notably TX-15, TX-28, and TX-34) plus suburban open seats remain competitive, with ratings from sources like the Cook Political Report reflecting uncertainty over Latino voter trends, turnout patterns, and national midterm dynamics favoring the out-of-party. Multiple retirements and primary shifts add further variability. Stronger-than-expected Democratic performance in those targeted districts or shifts in suburban turnout could push totals higher, while consolidated Republican margins in redrawn areas could cap gains near single digits.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$11,920Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent redistricting enacted by Texas Republicans in 2025 and upheld by the courts has redrawn several Democratic-held districts, including those of incumbents like Marc Veasey, Vicente Gonzalez, and Lloyd Doggett, aiming for a net GOP gain of two to five seats from the current 13 Democratic holdings out of 38 total. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 10–12 seats because a small number of South Texas battlegrounds (notably TX-15, TX-28, and TX-34) plus suburban open seats remain competitive, with ratings from sources like the Cook Political Report reflecting uncertainty over Latino voter trends, turnout patterns, and national midterm dynamics favoring the out-of-party. Multiple retirements and primary shifts add further variability. Stronger-than-expected Democratic performance in those targeted districts or shifts in suburban turnout could push totals higher, while consolidated Republican margins in redrawn areas could cap gains near single digits.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Выиграют ли демократы ровно 20 мест в Палате представителей в Нью-Йорке на промежуточных выборах 2026 года?
36%
Да
Выиграют ли демократы ровно 48 мест в Палате представителей в Калифорнии на промежуточных выборах 2026 года?
71%
Да
Выиграют ли демократы ровно 7 мест в Палате представителей от Вирджинии на промежуточных выборах 2026 года?
36%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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