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How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn by Friday?

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How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn by Friday?

20-25k 100.0%

<15k <1%

15-20k <1%

25-30k <1%

Polymarket

$347,366 Объем

20-25k 100.0%

<15k <1%

15-20k <1%

25-30k <1%

Polymarket

$347,366 Объем

<15k

$10,200 Объем

No

15-20k

$130,627 Объем

No

20-25k

$53,527 Объем

Yes

25-30k

$52,275 Объем

No

30-35k

$31,688 Объем

No

35-40k

$19,084 Объем

No

40k+

$49,965 Объем

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns less than 15,000 acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 15,000 (inclusive) and 20,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 20,000 (inclusive) and 25,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 25,000 (inclusive) and 30,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 30,000 (inclusive) and 35,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 35,000 (inclusive) and 40,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns 40,000 or more acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns less than 15,000 acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Объем
$347,366
Дата окончания
10 янв. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 8, 2025, 3:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns less than 15,000 acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns less than 15,000 acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 15,000 (inclusive) and 20,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 20,000 (inclusive) and 25,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 25,000 (inclusive) and 30,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 30,000 (inclusive) and 35,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 35,000 (inclusive) and 40,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns 40,000 or more acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns less than 15,000 acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Объем
$347,366
Дата окончания
10 янв. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 8, 2025, 3:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns less than 15,000 acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn by Friday?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «20-25k» с 100%, за ним следует «<15k» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn by Friday?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $347.4K с момента запуска рынка Jan 8, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn by Friday?», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn by Friday?» — «20-25k» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «<15k» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn by Friday?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.