Market icon

How Long will CZ's sentence be?

Market icon

How Long will CZ's sentence be?

<6 months 100.0%

6-11 months 100.0%

12-17 months 100.0%

18-23 months 100.0%

Polymarket

$1,071,176 Объем

<6 months 100.0%

6-11 months 100.0%

12-17 months 100.0%

18-23 months 100.0%

Polymarket

$1,071,176 Объем

Market icon

<6 months

$153,269 Объем

Yes

Market icon

6-11 months

$128,491 Объем

No

Market icon

12-17 months

$96,180 Объем

No

Market icon

18-23 months

$140,956 Объем

No

Market icon

24-29 months

$124,818 Объем

No

Market icon

30-35 months

$152,380 Объем

No

Market icon

36 months or more

$275,083 Объем

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if CZ is sentenced to less than 6 months in prison, as part of the ongoing case 'United States v. Changpeng Zhao', by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the sentencing is expressed in days by the court, one month will be considered equivalent to 30 days for the purposes of this market.

This market will resolve based on the first sentence rendered by the court regarding CZ's present trial.

The market pertains to the actual time to be served in his sentence—if he is given concurrent sentences, the longest one is used. If he is given consecutive sentences, the sum of their lengths is used.

If no sentence is rendered by Dec 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Объем
$1,071,176
Дата окончания
Apr 30, 2024
Дата создания
Apr 24, 2024, 1:20 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if CZ is sentenced to less than 6 months in prison, as part of the ongoing case 'United States v. Changpeng Zhao', by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the sentencing is expressed in days by the court, one month will be considered equivalent to 30 days for the purposes of this market. This market will resolve based on the first sentence rendered by the court regarding CZ's present trial. The market pertains to the actual time to be served in his sentence—if he is given concurrent sentences, the longest one is used. If he is given consecutive sentences, the sum of their lengths is used. If no sentence is rendered by Dec 31, 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"How Long will CZ's sentence be?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<6 months" at 100%, followed by "6-11 months" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "How Long will CZ's sentence be?" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 24, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "How Long will CZ's sentence be?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "How Long will CZ's sentence be?" is "<6 months" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "6-11 months" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "How Long will CZ's sentence be?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.