Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a precise 32°C daytime maximum for Tokyo on August 11, driving the market's complete consensus around this outcome under stable subtropical high-pressure dominance typical of mid-August. Official guidance highlights minimal spread across ensemble models, consistent with historical climatology showing frequent 30–33°C highs amid urban heat-island effects and high humidity that amplifies perceived warmth without altering the measured peak. Traders weigh the skin-in-the-game signal from these verified observations and short-range model runs, which show low uncertainty for this 24-hour window. A sudden influx of moisture or unforecast frontal passage could realistically suppress the high by a degree or two, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Токио 11 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Токио 11 августа?
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$131,071 Объем
$131,071 Объем
11 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$131,071 Объем
$131,071 Объем
11 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$632 Объем
No
24°C
$2,257 Объем
No
25°C
$4,294 Объем
No
26°C
$9,140 Объем
No
27°C
$8,661 Объем
No
28°C
$11,233 Объем
No
29°C
$9,783 Объем
No
30°C
$22,460 Объем
No
31°C
$28,457 Объем
No
32°C
$18,572 Объем
Yes
33°C or higher
$15,583 Объем
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a precise 32°C daytime maximum for Tokyo on August 11, driving the market's complete consensus around this outcome under stable subtropical high-pressure dominance typical of mid-August. Official guidance highlights minimal spread across ensemble models, consistent with historical climatology showing frequent 30–33°C highs amid urban heat-island effects and high humidity that amplifies perceived warmth without altering the measured peak. Traders weigh the skin-in-the-game signal from these verified observations and short-range model runs, which show low uncertainty for this 24-hour window. A sudden influx of moisture or unforecast frontal passage could realistically suppress the high by a degree or two, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$131,071Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a precise 32°C daytime maximum for Tokyo on August 11, driving the market's complete consensus around this outcome under stable subtropical high-pressure dominance typical of mid-August. Official guidance highlights minimal spread across ensemble models, consistent with historical climatology showing frequent 30–33°C highs amid urban heat-island effects and high humidity that amplifies perceived warmth without altering the measured peak. Traders weigh the skin-in-the-game signal from these verified observations and short-range model runs, which show low uncertainty for this 24-hour window. A sudden influx of moisture or unforecast frontal passage could realistically suppress the high by a degree or two, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$131,071Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a precise 32°C daytime maximum for Tokyo on August 11, driving the market's complete consensus around this outcome under stable subtropical high-pressure dominance typical of mid-August. Official guidance highlights minimal spread across ensemble models, consistent with historical climatology showing frequent 30–33°C highs amid urban heat-island effects and high humidity that amplifies perceived warmth without altering the measured peak. Traders weigh the skin-in-the-game signal from these verified observations and short-range model runs, which show low uncertainty for this 24-hour window. A sudden influx of moisture or unforecast frontal passage could realistically suppress the high by a degree or two, though current conditions make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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