Strong model consensus from regional meteorological ensembles supports the near-certain 37°C market-implied odds for Shenzhen’s August 11 maximum, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure promoting clear skies, light winds, and intense surface heating during peak afternoon hours. Official guidance projects daytime highs of 35–37°C amid elevated humidity, amplified by the urban heat-island effect typical of the region where concrete and asphalt retain warmth. Historical August baselines average around 32°C, yet recent patterns and short-range model agreement on steering currents reinforce this outcome. A realistic challenge remains if unexpected convective showers develop or post-event observational revisions from local stations lower the verified peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 11 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 11 августа?
37°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$111,176 Объем
$111,176 Объем
11 авг. 2026 г.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$111,176 Объем
$111,176 Объем
11 авг. 2026 г.
29°C or below
$504 Объем
No
30°C
$393 Объем
No
31°C
$3,336 Объем
No
32°C
$2,963 Объем
No
33°C
$5,410 Объем
No
34°C
$13,710 Объем
No
35°C
$11,303 Объем
No
36°C
$42,782 Объем
No
37°C
$16,032 Объем
Yes
38°C
$9,292 Объем
No
39°C or higher
$5,451 Объем
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from regional meteorological ensembles supports the near-certain 37°C market-implied odds for Shenzhen’s August 11 maximum, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure promoting clear skies, light winds, and intense surface heating during peak afternoon hours. Official guidance projects daytime highs of 35–37°C amid elevated humidity, amplified by the urban heat-island effect typical of the region where concrete and asphalt retain warmth. Historical August baselines average around 32°C, yet recent patterns and short-range model agreement on steering currents reinforce this outcome. A realistic challenge remains if unexpected convective showers develop or post-event observational revisions from local stations lower the verified peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Объем
$111,176Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from regional meteorological ensembles supports the near-certain 37°C market-implied odds for Shenzhen’s August 11 maximum, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure promoting clear skies, light winds, and intense surface heating during peak afternoon hours. Official guidance projects daytime highs of 35–37°C amid elevated humidity, amplified by the urban heat-island effect typical of the region where concrete and asphalt retain warmth. Historical August baselines average around 32°C, yet recent patterns and short-range model agreement on steering currents reinforce this outcome. A realistic challenge remains if unexpected convective showers develop or post-event observational revisions from local stations lower the verified peak.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$111,176Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Strong model consensus from regional meteorological ensembles supports the near-certain 37°C market-implied odds for Shenzhen’s August 11 maximum, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure promoting clear skies, light winds, and intense surface heating during peak afternoon hours. Official guidance projects daytime highs of 35–37°C amid elevated humidity, amplified by the urban heat-island effect typical of the region where concrete and asphalt retain warmth. Historical August baselines average around 32°C, yet recent patterns and short-range model agreement on steering currents reinforce this outcome. A realistic challenge remains if unexpected convective showers develop or post-event observational revisions from local stations lower the verified peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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