Official meteorological observations from Shanghai stations confirm a daily maximum of 29°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate easterly winds have limited diurnal heating and prevented any late-day spike, aligning with regional model consensus from agencies tracking East Asian summer conditions. Historical August baselines near 31–32°C underscore how today's suppressed temperatures reflect atypical atmospheric stability rather than typical heat buildup. Final verification data releases could theoretically adjust readings if additional station reports emerge, though current evidence leaves little scope for upward revision.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 11 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 11 августа?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$232,207 Объем
$232,207 Объем
11 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$232,207 Объем
$232,207 Объем
11 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$504 Объем
No
24°C
$504 Объем
No
25°C
$447 Объем
No
26°C
$1,815 Объем
No
27°C
$10,782 Объем
No
28°C
$138,515 Объем
No
29°C
$23,418 Объем
Yes
30°C
$23,689 Объем
No
31°C
$17,144 Объем
No
32°C
$9,914 Объем
No
33°C or higher
$5,476 Объем
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Shanghai stations confirm a daily maximum of 29°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate easterly winds have limited diurnal heating and prevented any late-day spike, aligning with regional model consensus from agencies tracking East Asian summer conditions. Historical August baselines near 31–32°C underscore how today's suppressed temperatures reflect atypical atmospheric stability rather than typical heat buildup. Final verification data releases could theoretically adjust readings if additional station reports emerge, though current evidence leaves little scope for upward revision.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Объем
$232,207Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Shanghai stations confirm a daily maximum of 29°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate easterly winds have limited diurnal heating and prevented any late-day spike, aligning with regional model consensus from agencies tracking East Asian summer conditions. Historical August baselines near 31–32°C underscore how today's suppressed temperatures reflect atypical atmospheric stability rather than typical heat buildup. Final verification data releases could theoretically adjust readings if additional station reports emerge, though current evidence leaves little scope for upward revision.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$232,207Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official meteorological observations from Shanghai stations confirm a daily maximum of 29°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate easterly winds have limited diurnal heating and prevented any late-day spike, aligning with regional model consensus from agencies tracking East Asian summer conditions. Historical August baselines near 31–32°C underscore how today's suppressed temperatures reflect atypical atmospheric stability rather than typical heat buildup. Final verification data releases could theoretically adjust readings if additional station reports emerge, though current evidence leaves little scope for upward revision.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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