Recent observational data and refined Korea Meteorological Administration guidance have driven near-certain trader consensus around a 32°C maximum for Seoul/Incheon on August 11, aligning with real-time surface readings near 32°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. Coastal marine moderation at Incheon International Airport, combined with the tail end of the early-August heatwave that produced inland peaks above 39°C, has limited further intensification despite clear conditions and negligible precipitation risk. Ensemble models show tight clustering around this threshold, with climatological August averages of 30–31°C providing supporting context. Late-day convective development or minor adjustments in official Incheon station verification could still shift the final recorded high, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 11 августа?
32°C 100.0%
27°C или ниже <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$142,513 Объем
$142,513 Объем
27°C или ниже
Нет
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C
Нет
32°C
Да
33°C
Нет
34°C
Нет
35°C
Нет
36°C
Нет
37°C или выше
Нет
32°C 100.0%
27°C или ниже <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$142,513 Объем
$142,513 Объем
27°C или ниже
Нет
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C
Нет
32°C
Да
33°C
Нет
34°C
Нет
35°C
Нет
36°C
Нет
37°C или выше
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Recent observational data and refined Korea Meteorological Administration guidance have driven near-certain trader consensus around a 32°C maximum for Seoul/Incheon on August 11, aligning with real-time surface readings near 32°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. Coastal marine moderation at Incheon International Airport, combined with the tail end of the early-August heatwave that produced inland peaks above 39°C, has limited further intensification despite clear conditions and negligible precipitation risk. Ensemble models show tight clustering around this threshold, with climatological August averages of 30–31°C providing supporting context. Late-day convective development or minor adjustments in official Incheon station verification could still shift the final recorded high, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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