National Weather Service forecasts for July 19 point to a high near 81°F under gradually clearing skies with northwest winds near 14 mph, following Saturday showers and widespread smoke. This consensus, combined with climatological norms around 82–85°F and recent model runs showing modest day-to-day variability from smoke scattering and boundary-layer mixing, keeps the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins tied at 33% implied probability each. Traders weigh the potential for slightly stronger clearing or lighter winds to push readings into the mid-80s against the risk of lingering haze or earlier stabilization capping the peak, producing tight clustering in the low-80s range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 19 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 19 июля?
80-81°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$140,562 Объем
$140,562 Объем
19 июл. 2026 г.
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F или выше
Нет
80-81°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$140,562 Объем
$140,562 Объем
19 июл. 2026 г.
73°F or below
$3,499 Объем
No
74-75°F
$8,103 Объем
No
76-77°F
$20,041 Объем
No
78-79°F
$32,306 Объем
No
80-81°F
$20,292 Объем
Yes
82-83°F
$21,277 Объем
No
84-85°F
$15,043 Объем
No
86-87°F
$11,243 Объем
No
88-89°F
$4,330 Объем
No
90-91°F
$4,153 Объем
No
92°F или выше
$275 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for July 19 point to a high near 81°F under gradually clearing skies with northwest winds near 14 mph, following Saturday showers and widespread smoke. This consensus, combined with climatological norms around 82–85°F and recent model runs showing modest day-to-day variability from smoke scattering and boundary-layer mixing, keeps the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins tied at 33% implied probability each. Traders weigh the potential for slightly stronger clearing or lighter winds to push readings into the mid-80s against the risk of lingering haze or earlier stabilization capping the peak, producing tight clustering in the low-80s range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Объем
$140,562Дата окончания
19 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for July 19 point to a high near 81°F under gradually clearing skies with northwest winds near 14 mph, following Saturday showers and widespread smoke. This consensus, combined with climatological norms around 82–85°F and recent model runs showing modest day-to-day variability from smoke scattering and boundary-layer mixing, keeps the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins tied at 33% implied probability each. Traders weigh the potential for slightly stronger clearing or lighter winds to push readings into the mid-80s against the risk of lingering haze or earlier stabilization capping the peak, producing tight clustering in the low-80s range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$140,562Дата окончания
19 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
National Weather Service forecasts for July 19 point to a high near 81°F under gradually clearing skies with northwest winds near 14 mph, following Saturday showers and widespread smoke. This consensus, combined with climatological norms around 82–85°F and recent model runs showing modest day-to-day variability from smoke scattering and boundary-layer mixing, keeps the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins tied at 33% implied probability each. Traders weigh the potential for slightly stronger clearing or lighter winds to push readings into the mid-80s against the risk of lingering haze or earlier stabilization capping the peak, producing tight clustering in the low-80s range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы