Persistent heatwave conditions across northern Italy, fueled by a strong subtropical high-pressure system, have driven Milan’s maximum temperature firmly toward 36°C on August 11. Official meteorological forecasts and regional heat alerts confirm clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and daytime highs consistently modeled at 35–37°C, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome. Low wind speeds and elevated humidity further amplify surface heating under intense August insolation. While the consensus is robust, an unexpected late-day thunderstorm or rapid shift in synoptic flow could cap the peak below 36°C, though current model runs and observational trends make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Милане 11 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Милане 11 августа?
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$56,931 Объем
$56,931 Объем
11 авг. 2026 г.
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$56,931 Объем
$56,931 Объем
11 авг. 2026 г.
32°C or below
$1,160 Объем
No
33°C
$1,452 Объем
No
34°C
$5,932 Объем
No
35°C
$17,204 Объем
No
36°C
$13,562 Объем
Yes
37°C
$9,422 Объем
No
38°C
$4,033 Объем
No
39°C
$2,009 Объем
No
40°C
$1,410 Объем
No
41°C
$392 Объем
No
42°C or higher
$353 Объем
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions across northern Italy, fueled by a strong subtropical high-pressure system, have driven Milan’s maximum temperature firmly toward 36°C on August 11. Official meteorological forecasts and regional heat alerts confirm clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and daytime highs consistently modeled at 35–37°C, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome. Low wind speeds and elevated humidity further amplify surface heating under intense August insolation. While the consensus is robust, an unexpected late-day thunderstorm or rapid shift in synoptic flow could cap the peak below 36°C, though current model runs and observational trends make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Объем
$56,931Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions across northern Italy, fueled by a strong subtropical high-pressure system, have driven Milan’s maximum temperature firmly toward 36°C on August 11. Official meteorological forecasts and regional heat alerts confirm clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and daytime highs consistently modeled at 35–37°C, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome. Low wind speeds and elevated humidity further amplify surface heating under intense August insolation. While the consensus is robust, an unexpected late-day thunderstorm or rapid shift in synoptic flow could cap the peak below 36°C, though current model runs and observational trends make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$56,931Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Persistent heatwave conditions across northern Italy, fueled by a strong subtropical high-pressure system, have driven Milan’s maximum temperature firmly toward 36°C on August 11. Official meteorological forecasts and regional heat alerts confirm clear skies, minimal cloud cover, and daytime highs consistently modeled at 35–37°C, aligning precisely with the market-implied outcome. Low wind speeds and elevated humidity further amplify surface heating under intense August insolation. While the consensus is robust, an unexpected late-day thunderstorm or rapid shift in synoptic flow could cap the peak below 36°C, though current model runs and observational trends make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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