Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum temperature of 35°C on August 11, 2026, anchoring the market-implied odds at near-certainty for that outcome. This reflects the observatory’s standard reference at its Tsim Sha Tsui headquarters under ongoing heatwave conditions influenced by regional atmospheric patterns and residual effects from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin. Model consensus and observational data showed limited intensification potential that day, with forecasts consistently pointing to highs near or at 35°C before any late showers developed. Historical August baselines around 32°C and the recent record spike to 36.9°C on August 9 provide context for the slight moderation. The only realistic challenges would involve post hoc data revisions or discrepancies between official headquarters readings and regional stations, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary records are validated.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 11 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 11 августа?
35°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$366,871 Объем
$366,871 Объем
11 авг. 2026 г.
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$366,871 Объем
$366,871 Объем
11 авг. 2026 г.
30°C or below
$1,204 Объем
No
31°C
$3,624 Объем
No
32°C
$65,339 Объем
No
33°C
$102,627 Объем
No
34°C
$78,516 Объем
No
35°C
$53,963 Объем
Yes
36°C
$31,830 Объем
No
37°C
$22,668 Объем
No
38°C
$5,784 Объем
No
39°C
$656 Объем
No
40°C or higher
$659 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum temperature of 35°C on August 11, 2026, anchoring the market-implied odds at near-certainty for that outcome. This reflects the observatory’s standard reference at its Tsim Sha Tsui headquarters under ongoing heatwave conditions influenced by regional atmospheric patterns and residual effects from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin. Model consensus and observational data showed limited intensification potential that day, with forecasts consistently pointing to highs near or at 35°C before any late showers developed. Historical August baselines around 32°C and the recent record spike to 36.9°C on August 9 provide context for the slight moderation. The only realistic challenges would involve post hoc data revisions or discrepancies between official headquarters readings and regional stations, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary records are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Объем
$366,871Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum temperature of 35°C on August 11, 2026, anchoring the market-implied odds at near-certainty for that outcome. This reflects the observatory’s standard reference at its Tsim Sha Tsui headquarters under ongoing heatwave conditions influenced by regional atmospheric patterns and residual effects from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin. Model consensus and observational data showed limited intensification potential that day, with forecasts consistently pointing to highs near or at 35°C before any late showers developed. Historical August baselines around 32°C and the recent record spike to 36.9°C on August 9 provide context for the slight moderation. The only realistic challenges would involve post hoc data revisions or discrepancies between official headquarters readings and regional stations, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary records are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$366,871Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official measurements from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum temperature of 35°C on August 11, 2026, anchoring the market-implied odds at near-certainty for that outcome. This reflects the observatory’s standard reference at its Tsim Sha Tsui headquarters under ongoing heatwave conditions influenced by regional atmospheric patterns and residual effects from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin. Model consensus and observational data showed limited intensification potential that day, with forecasts consistently pointing to highs near or at 35°C before any late showers developed. Historical August baselines around 32°C and the recent record spike to 36.9°C on August 9 provide context for the slight moderation. The only realistic challenges would involve post hoc data revisions or discrepancies between official headquarters readings and regional stations, though such adjustments remain rare once preliminary records are validated.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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