**Trader consensus has converged on 31°C as the highest temperature in Busan on August 11 due to official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting model runs projecting a daily maximum near that threshold.** Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under the influence of the North Pacific High are expected to limit daytime heating while coastal sea breezes moderate extremes, consistent with typical mid-August climatology for the region where highs average 29–31°C. Real-time surface observations and ensemble guidance show minimal deviation risk on this date, producing the market's near-certain implied probability. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include stronger-than-forecast onshore flow, increased cloud cover, or localized measurement differences at official stations. Updated KMA briefings or final synoptic analysis remain the key near-term data points.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Пусане 11 августа?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$59,141 Объем
$59,141 Объем
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$59,141 Объем
$59,141 Объем
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
**Trader consensus has converged on 31°C as the highest temperature in Busan on August 11 due to official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting model runs projecting a daily maximum near that threshold.** Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under the influence of the North Pacific High are expected to limit daytime heating while coastal sea breezes moderate extremes, consistent with typical mid-August climatology for the region where highs average 29–31°C. Real-time surface observations and ensemble guidance show minimal deviation risk on this date, producing the market's near-certain implied probability. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include stronger-than-forecast onshore flow, increased cloud cover, or localized measurement differences at official stations. Updated KMA briefings or final synoptic analysis remain the key near-term data points.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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