xAI released Grok 4.6 on August 12, 2026, shortly after Grok 4.5 in mid-July, continuing its rapid iteration cadence on the 1.5-trillion-parameter V9 foundation. The update emphasizes improvements in long-running agents, multi-step reasoning, interactive workflows, and visual tasks through enhanced supervised fine-tuning and reinforcement learning, while maintaining the prior model's speed and efficiency. It targets competitive positioning against models like Claude Opus 4.8 and Moonshot's Kimi K3, with immediate availability via the xAI API, Cursor, and Grok Build at $2/$6 per million input/output tokens. A larger 2.1T Grok 4.7 is expected weeks later, reflecting xAI's focus on agentic capabilities amid the broader frontier AI race. Traders should watch for any last-minute rollout adjustments or benchmark updates that could influence resolution criteria.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоGrok 4.6 выпущено...?
Grok 4.6 выпущено...?
$263,091 Объем
7 авг. 2026 г.
7 августа
Нет
11 августа
Нет
12 августа
Да
13 августа
Да
14 августа
Да
21 августа
Да
$263,091 Объем
7 августа
$33,218 Объем
Нет
11 августа
$17,875 Объем
Нет
12 августа
$52,641 Объем
Да
13 августа
$36,445 Объем
Да
14 августа
$68,270 Объем
Да
21 августа
$54,643 Объем
Да
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.xAI released Grok 4.6 on August 12, 2026, shortly after Grok 4.5 in mid-July, continuing its rapid iteration cadence on the 1.5-trillion-parameter V9 foundation. The update emphasizes improvements in long-running agents, multi-step reasoning, interactive workflows, and visual tasks through enhanced supervised fine-tuning and reinforcement learning, while maintaining the prior model's speed and efficiency. It targets competitive positioning against models like Claude Opus 4.8 and Moonshot's Kimi K3, with immediate availability via the xAI API, Cursor, and Grok Build at $2/$6 per million input/output tokens. A larger 2.1T Grok 4.7 is expected weeks later, reflecting xAI's focus on agentic capabilities amid the broader frontier AI race. Traders should watch for any last-minute rollout adjustments or benchmark updates that could influence resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Grok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Объем
$263,091Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 1:32 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.xAI released Grok 4.6 on August 12, 2026, shortly after Grok 4.5 in mid-July, continuing its rapid iteration cadence on the 1.5-trillion-parameter V9 foundation. The update emphasizes improvements in long-running agents, multi-step reasoning, interactive workflows, and visual tasks through enhanced supervised fine-tuning and reinforcement learning, while maintaining the prior model's speed and efficiency. It targets competitive positioning against models like Claude Opus 4.8 and Moonshot's Kimi K3, with immediate availability via the xAI API, Cursor, and Grok Build at $2/$6 per million input/output tokens. A larger 2.1T Grok 4.7 is expected weeks later, reflecting xAI's focus on agentic capabilities amid the broader frontier AI race. Traders should watch for any last-minute rollout adjustments or benchmark updates that could influence resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Grok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$263,091Дата окончания
14 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 1:32 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
xAI released Grok 4.6 on August 12, 2026, shortly after Grok 4.5 in mid-July, continuing its rapid iteration cadence on the 1.5-trillion-parameter V9 foundation. The update emphasizes improvements in long-running agents, multi-step reasoning, interactive workflows, and visual tasks through enhanced supervised fine-tuning and reinforcement learning, while maintaining the prior model's speed and efficiency. It targets competitive positioning against models like Claude Opus 4.8 and Moonshot's Kimi K3, with immediate availability via the xAI API, Cursor, and Grok Build at $2/$6 per million input/output tokens. A larger 2.1T Grok 4.7 is expected weeks later, reflecting xAI's focus on agentic capabilities amid the broader frontier AI race. Traders should watch for any last-minute rollout adjustments or benchmark updates that could influence resolution criteria.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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