Germany’s Q3 2026 GDP growth, measured year-over-year in the first Destatis release due October 30, reflects a modest recovery path after stronger-than-expected H1 momentum of 0.3–0.4% quarter-on-quarter. Export gains and expansionary fiscal measures on infrastructure and defense have lifted 2026 annual forecasts to 1.0–1.4% across Kiel, ifo, and Deutsche Bank projections, supporting the 52.5% market-implied probability on 1.0–1.2% growth. Elevated energy prices near 2.7% inflation, linked to Middle East tensions, continue to pressure private consumption and cap upside, while recovering Rhine water levels have eased earlier transport risks. Trader consensus prices in these dynamics ahead of the print, with lower bins reflecting downside from structural headwinds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено1.0-1.2% 53%
0.7-0.9% 20%
1.3%+ 19%
≤0.0% 5.5%
$34,231 Объем
$34,231 Объем
30 окт. 2026 г.
≤0.0%
6%
0.1-0.3%
5%
0.4-0.6%
5%
0.7-0.9%
20%
1.0-1.2%
53%
1.3%+
19%
1.0-1.2% 53%
0.7-0.9% 20%
1.3%+ 19%
≤0.0% 5.5%
$34,231 Объем
$34,231 Объем
30 окт. 2026 г.
≤0.0%
$1,361 Объем
6%
0.1-0.3%
$1,644 Объем
5%
0.4-0.6%
$700 Объем
5%
0.7-0.9%
$5,794 Объем
20%
1.0-1.2%
$20,430 Объем
53%
1.3%+
$4,302 Объем
19%
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Germany’s Q3 2026 GDP growth, measured year-over-year in the first Destatis release due October 30, reflects a modest recovery path after stronger-than-expected H1 momentum of 0.3–0.4% quarter-on-quarter. Export gains and expansionary fiscal measures on infrastructure and defense have lifted 2026 annual forecasts to 1.0–1.4% across Kiel, ifo, and Deutsche Bank projections, supporting the 52.5% market-implied probability on 1.0–1.2% growth. Elevated energy prices near 2.7% inflation, linked to Middle East tensions, continue to pressure private consumption and cap upside, while recovering Rhine water levels have eased earlier transport risks. Trader consensus prices in these dynamics ahead of the print, with lower bins reflecting downside from structural headwinds.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Объем
$34,231Дата окончания
30 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Germany’s Q3 2026 GDP growth, measured year-over-year in the first Destatis release due October 30, reflects a modest recovery path after stronger-than-expected H1 momentum of 0.3–0.4% quarter-on-quarter. Export gains and expansionary fiscal measures on infrastructure and defense have lifted 2026 annual forecasts to 1.0–1.4% across Kiel, ifo, and Deutsche Bank projections, supporting the 52.5% market-implied probability on 1.0–1.2% growth. Elevated energy prices near 2.7% inflation, linked to Middle East tensions, continue to pressure private consumption and cap upside, while recovering Rhine water levels have eased earlier transport risks. Trader consensus prices in these dynamics ahead of the print, with lower bins reflecting downside from structural headwinds.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$34,231Дата окончания
30 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Germany’s Q3 2026 GDP growth, measured year-over-year in the first Destatis release due October 30, reflects a modest recovery path after stronger-than-expected H1 momentum of 0.3–0.4% quarter-on-quarter. Export gains and expansionary fiscal measures on infrastructure and defense have lifted 2026 annual forecasts to 1.0–1.4% across Kiel, ifo, and Deutsche Bank projections, supporting the 52.5% market-implied probability on 1.0–1.2% growth. Elevated energy prices near 2.7% inflation, linked to Middle East tensions, continue to pressure private consumption and cap upside, while recovering Rhine water levels have eased earlier transport risks. Trader consensus prices in these dynamics ahead of the print, with lower bins reflecting downside from structural headwinds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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