Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 59% in Florida's 27th Congressional District House race, driven by incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's mid-single-digit polling leads over Democrat Lucia Baez-Geller in recent surveys like Emerson College's October poll (49%-44%). GOP gains among the district's pivotal Cuban-American and Venezuelan voters—prioritizing anti-socialism rhetoric, Cuba policy, and border security—have solidified Salazar's edge since flipping the battleground seat in 2020. National Republican momentum and heavy ad blitzes reinforce this positioning, though high early voting turnout could narrow the gap before the November 5 election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-27
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-27
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
59%
Демократическая партия
40%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
$1,299 Объем
59%
Демократическая партия
$2,055 Объем
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 59% in Florida's 27th Congressional District House race, driven by incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's mid-single-digit polling leads over Democrat Lucia Baez-Geller in recent surveys like Emerson College's October poll (49%-44%). GOP gains among the district's pivotal Cuban-American and Venezuelan voters—prioritizing anti-socialism rhetoric, Cuba policy, and border security—have solidified Salazar's edge since flipping the battleground seat in 2020. National Republican momentum and heavy ad blitzes reinforce this positioning, though high early voting turnout could narrow the gap before the November 5 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Объем
$3,354Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 59% in Florida's 27th Congressional District House race, driven by incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's mid-single-digit polling leads over Democrat Lucia Baez-Geller in recent surveys like Emerson College's October poll (49%-44%). GOP gains among the district's pivotal Cuban-American and Venezuelan voters—prioritizing anti-socialism rhetoric, Cuba policy, and border security—have solidified Salazar's edge since flipping the battleground seat in 2020. National Republican momentum and heavy ad blitzes reinforce this positioning, though high early voting turnout could narrow the gap before the November 5 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$3,354Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 59% in Florida's 27th Congressional District House race, driven by incumbent Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar's mid-single-digit polling leads over Democrat Lucia Baez-Geller in recent surveys like Emerson College's October poll (49%-44%). GOP gains among the district's pivotal Cuban-American and Venezuelan voters—prioritizing anti-socialism rhetoric, Cuba policy, and border security—have solidified Salazar's edge since flipping the battleground seat in 2020. National Republican momentum and heavy ad blitzes reinforce this positioning, though high early voting turnout could narrow the gap before the November 5 election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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