Incumbent Republican María Elvira Salazar holds a fundraising and name-recognition edge in Florida’s 27th Congressional District, a heavily Hispanic Miami-area seat that she carried by roughly 20 points in 2024. Recent internal and public polling shows the race tightening into a lean-Republican contest, with some surveys placing the candidates within a few points or tied after undecided voters are allocated. Salazar’s decision to distance herself from certain Trump administration immigration enforcement actions in campaign ads has drawn attention in a district sensitive to those policies, while Democratic challenger Eliott Rodriguez, a longtime local television anchor, benefits from familiarity and national midterm dynamics pressuring Republican-held seats. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with trader consensus reflecting Salazar’s incumbency advantages alongside evidence of a narrower path than in prior cycles.