Florida's 9th Congressional District has shifted toward Republican advantage following the state's adoption of a new congressional map in early May 2026, prompting major forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball to rate the seat Likely Republican. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto faces this altered landscape ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. The redistricting changes have updated the district's partisan voting index and reduced Democratic margins relative to prior cycles, aligning with the current trader consensus on outcome probabilities. Key variables ahead include primary results, turnout patterns, and any late-cycle developments that could influence the final margin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-09
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-09
$13,081 Объем
$13,081 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
57%
Демократическая партия
41%
$13,081 Объем
$13,081 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$7,958 Объем
57%
Демократическая партия
$5,123 Объем
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 9th Congressional District has shifted toward Republican advantage following the state's adoption of a new congressional map in early May 2026, prompting major forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball to rate the seat Likely Republican. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto faces this altered landscape ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. The redistricting changes have updated the district's partisan voting index and reduced Democratic margins relative to prior cycles, aligning with the current trader consensus on outcome probabilities. Key variables ahead include primary results, turnout patterns, and any late-cycle developments that could influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Объем
$13,081Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 9th Congressional District has shifted toward Republican advantage following the state's adoption of a new congressional map in early May 2026, prompting major forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball to rate the seat Likely Republican. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto faces this altered landscape ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. The redistricting changes have updated the district's partisan voting index and reduced Democratic margins relative to prior cycles, aligning with the current trader consensus on outcome probabilities. Key variables ahead include primary results, turnout patterns, and any late-cycle developments that could influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$13,081Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 9th Congressional District has shifted toward Republican advantage following the state's adoption of a new congressional map in early May 2026, prompting major forecasters including Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball to rate the seat Likely Republican. Incumbent Democrat Darren Soto faces this altered landscape ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. The redistricting changes have updated the district's partisan voting index and reduced Democratic margins relative to prior cycles, aligning with the current trader consensus on outcome probabilities. Key variables ahead include primary results, turnout patterns, and any late-cycle developments that could influence the final margin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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