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Политика·Мэр Нью-Йорка

First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?

Market icon
Политика·Мэр Нью-Йорка

First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?

>99% вероятность
Polymarket

$43,436 Объем

>99% вероятность
Polymarket

$43,436 Объем

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who receives the most first-choice votes in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025, also finishes with the most votes in the final round of the official ranked-choice voting (RCV) tabulation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, “first-choice votes” refers to vote totals from the initial round of RCV tabulation, before any eliminations or vote transfers occur. “Final-round votes” refers to the vote totals in the final round of RCV, after all eliminations and reallocation of votes have occurred. If multiple candidates are tied for the most votes in either the first or final round, the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order will be considered higher-ranked for the purposes of resolving this market. This market will resolve based on the official certified results published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who receives the most first-choice votes in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025, also finishes with the most votes in the final round of the official ranked-choice voting (RCV) tabulation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, “first-choice votes” refers to vote totals from the initial round of RCV tabulation, before any eliminations or vote transfers occur. “Final-round votes” refers to the vote totals in the final round of RCV, after all eliminations and reallocation of votes have occurred.

If multiple candidates are tied for the most votes in either the first or final round, the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order will be considered higher-ranked for the purposes of resolving this market.

This market will resolve based on the official certified results published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
Объем
$43,436
Дата окончания
24 июн. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 12, 2025, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who receives the most first-choice votes in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025, also finishes with the most votes in the final round of the official ranked-choice voting (RCV) tabulation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, “first-choice votes” refers to vote totals from the initial round of RCV tabulation, before any eliminations or vote transfers occur. “Final-round votes” refers to the vote totals in the final round of RCV, after all eliminations and reallocation of votes have occurred. If multiple candidates are tied for the most votes in either the first or final round, the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order will be considered higher-ranked for the purposes of resolving this market. This market will resolve based on the official certified results published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who receives the most first-choice votes in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025, also finishes with the most votes in the final round of the official ranked-choice voting (RCV) tabulation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, “first-choice votes” refers to vote totals from the initial round of RCV tabulation, before any eliminations or vote transfers occur. “Final-round votes” refers to the vote totals in the final round of RCV, after all eliminations and reallocation of votes have occurred. If multiple candidates are tied for the most votes in either the first or final round, the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order will be considered higher-ranked for the purposes of resolving this market. This market will resolve based on the official certified results published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who receives the most first-choice votes in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025, also finishes with the most votes in the final round of the official ranked-choice voting (RCV) tabulation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, “first-choice votes” refers to vote totals from the initial round of RCV tabulation, before any eliminations or vote transfers occur. “Final-round votes” refers to the vote totals in the final round of RCV, after all eliminations and reallocation of votes have occurred.

If multiple candidates are tied for the most votes in either the first or final round, the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order will be considered higher-ranked for the purposes of resolving this market.

This market will resolve based on the official certified results published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
Объем
$43,436
Дата окончания
24 июн. 2025 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 12, 2025, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the candidate who receives the most first-choice votes in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025, also finishes with the most votes in the final round of the official ranked-choice voting (RCV) tabulation. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, “first-choice votes” refers to vote totals from the initial round of RCV tabulation, before any eliminations or vote transfers occur. “Final-round votes” refers to the vote totals in the final round of RCV, after all eliminations and reallocation of votes have occurred. If multiple candidates are tied for the most votes in either the first or final round, the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order will be considered higher-ranked for the purposes of resolving this market. This market will resolve based on the official certified results published by the New York City Board of Elections. If a recount is initiated before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

Предложенный исход: Yes

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Yes

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 100% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 100¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $43.4K с момента запуска рынка Jun 12, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?» составляет 100% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.