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Первый из кабинета Трампа к концу 2026 года? (Дубликат)

Market icon

Первый из кабинета Трампа к концу 2026 года? (Дубликат)

Стивен Миран 100.0%

Дж. Д. Вэнс <1%

Марко Рубио <1%

Скотт Бессент <1%

Polymarket

$73,073 Объем

Стивен Миран 100.0%

Дж. Д. Вэнс <1%

Марко Рубио <1%

Скотт Бессент <1%

Polymarket

$73,073 Объем

Дж. Д. Вэнс

$1,953 Объем

Нет

Марко Рубио

$3,896 Объем

Нет

Скотт Бессент

$3,724 Объем

Нет

Пит Хегсет

$3,865 Объем

Нет

Пэм Бонди

$4,551 Объем

Нет

Даг Бёргум

$2,028 Объем

Нет

Брук Роллинс

$2,726 Объем

Нет

Ховард Латник

$2,028 Объем

Нет

Лори Чавес-ДеРемер

$2,766 Объем

Нет

Роберт Ф. Кеннеди-младший

$2,833 Объем

Нет

Скотт Тернер

$1,543 Объем

Нет

Шон Даффи

$1,781 Объем

Нет

Крис Райт

$3,135 Объем

Нет

Линда Макмэн

$1,417 Объем

Нет

Дуг Коллинз

$1,718 Объем

Нет

Кристи Ноэм

$4,869 Объем

Нет

Ли Зелдин

$827 Объем

Нет

Сюзи Уайлс

$3,097 Объем

Нет

Тулси Габбард

$3,392 Объем

Нет

Рассел Т. Воут

$1,949 Объем

Нет

Джон Рэтклифф

$1,918 Объем

Нет

Джеймисон Грир

$2,203 Объем

Нет

Майк Уолтц

$8,969 Объем

Нет

Стивен Миран

$3,506 Объем

Да

Келли Лёффлер

$2,235 Объем

Нет

This market will resolve according to the next listed individual that it is announced will leave the Trump Cabinet, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration.

If none of the listed individuals leave between December 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name is alphabetically first.

For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
A listed individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$73,073
Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026
Открытие рынка
Dec 5, 2025, 4:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the next listed individual that it is announced will leave the Trump Cabinet, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration. If none of the listed individuals leave between December 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name is alphabetically first. For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market. A listed individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role. If a candidate assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: Нет

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Нет

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Первый из кабинета Трампа к концу 2026 года? (Дубликат)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 25 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Стивен Миран" at 100%, followed by "Дж. Д. Вэнс" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Первый из кабинета Трампа к концу 2026 года? (Дубликат)" has generated $73.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Первый из кабинета Трампа к концу 2026 года? (Дубликат)," browse the 25 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Первый из кабинета Трампа к концу 2026 года? (Дубликат)" is "Стивен Миран" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Дж. Д. Вэнс" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Первый из кабинета Трампа к концу 2026 года? (Дубликат)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.