Spain's overwhelming 80% implied probability as Group H winner stems from their status as reigning European champions with a deep, battle-tested squad featuring stars like Lamine Yamal and Rodri, boasting unbeaten runs in recent Nations League and qualifiers amid dominant possession-based play. Uruguay trails at 17% on strong CONMEBOL qualifying pace led by Darwin Núñez and Federico Valverde, though a recent Copa América semifinal exit slightly tempers momentum against Spain's edge. Cape Verde's surprising 10.8% reflects Cinderella form in CAF playoffs, including upsets over Libya and Cameroon, punching above their weight with resilient defense. Saudi Arabia's 5.1% hinges on 2022's shock Germany win and AFC investments, but inconsistent qualifiers limit upside; no major injuries reported across teams shift trader consensus toward Europe's firepower.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоИспания 80%
Уругвай 17%
Кабо-Верде 7.7%
Саудовская Аравия 5.1%
Испания
80%
Уругвай
17%
Кабо-Верде
8%
Саудовская Аравия
5%
Испания 80%
Уругвай 17%
Кабо-Верде 7.7%
Саудовская Аравия 5.1%
Испания
80%
Уругвай
17%
Кабо-Верде
8%
Саудовская Аравия
5%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain's overwhelming 80% implied probability as Group H winner stems from their status as reigning European champions with a deep, battle-tested squad featuring stars like Lamine Yamal and Rodri, boasting unbeaten runs in recent Nations League and qualifiers amid dominant possession-based play. Uruguay trails at 17% on strong CONMEBOL qualifying pace led by Darwin Núñez and Federico Valverde, though a recent Copa América semifinal exit slightly tempers momentum against Spain's edge. Cape Verde's surprising 10.8% reflects Cinderella form in CAF playoffs, including upsets over Libya and Cameroon, punching above their weight with resilient defense. Saudi Arabia's 5.1% hinges on 2022's shock Germany win and AFC investments, but inconsistent qualifiers limit upside; no major injuries reported across teams shift trader consensus toward Europe's firepower.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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